Bundesliga · resolved market
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42a016b0a4bdf4de840334551b04bda95fcf02e4626c60bb49e3b1f1530067a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $978,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $978,482 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 362 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x742d…33fbbacked No | 38c | 392,042$149,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242,834.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 62c | 114,193$70,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,780.05 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed No | 33c | 100,000$33,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,999.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Yes | 67c | 70,000$46,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,900 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 67c | 57,890$38,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,786.15 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 58c | 41,575$24,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,019.38 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 64c | 40,000$25,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,549.99 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 33c | 37,365$12,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,034.73 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 67c | 31,315$20,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,966.79 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 62c | 26,161$16,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,147.37 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 67c | 24,661$16,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,482.59 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…c667backed No | 33c | 19,999$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,399.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 68c | 18,976$12,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,833.2 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 70c | 11,624$8,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,101.26 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Yes | 60c | 11,396$6,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,879 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 59c | 10,710$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300.01 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 31c | 10,169$3,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,992.01 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 69c | 9,860$6,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,795.02 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 60c | 9,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 70c | 8,645$6,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,030.01 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…60dabacked Yes | 71c | 8,382$5,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,948.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 69c | 7,891$5,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,420.02 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 64c | 7,813$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 67c | 7,471$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.63 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 64c | 7,144$4,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,572.28 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 57c | 5,584$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190.07 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Yes | 60c | 5,555$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 29c | 5,459$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,889.76 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Yes | 67c | 4,550$3,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,048.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 30c | 4,088$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.93 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 62c | 3,848$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.2 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 67c | 3,333$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.32 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 31c | 3,142$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.94 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 60c | 2,865$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.6 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 16c | 2,797$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 67c | 2,602$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.82 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f6…21bebacked Yes | 65c | 2,154$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed No | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Yes | 67c | 2,010$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 69c | 1,746$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 67c | 1,688$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.27 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 32c | 1,638$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 67c | 1,470$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.9 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 29c | 1,457$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.97 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 69c | 1,451$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 31c | 1,428$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.24 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 32c | 1,303$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.15 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Yes | 53c | 1,206$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.39 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Yes | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 64c | 1,176$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.72 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 20c | 1,010$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.6 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29e…d14fbacked Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 31c | 999.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.99 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Yes | 65c | 999.97$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.98 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 34c | 988.25$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.18 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 49c | 978$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.2 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 62c | 954.82$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.47 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 30c | 938.59$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.68 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 31c | 901.44$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.61 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 30c | 900$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.58 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Yes | 61c | 819.66$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 36c | 797.42$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.91 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 68c | 731.42$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.47 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 58c | 705.09$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.95 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 66c | 700$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed No | 37c | 683.46$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 63c | 668.76$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 45c | 663.37$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.62 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Yes | 67c | 600$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 34c | 599.91$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.94 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Yes | 30c | 597.47$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 60c | 590.46$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.28 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 70c | 574.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 68c | 567.22$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.81 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Yes | 64c | 563.19$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.71 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…434ebacked No | 30c | 508.92$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed No | 31c | 500.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.68 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 66c | 491$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.06 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 67c | 484.56$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.21 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 54c | 455.56$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 68c | 445.59$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Yes | 65c | 445.08$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e37…b91ebacked Yes | 65c | 439.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Yes | 40c | 414.14$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 33c | 400$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 61c | 384.63$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.79 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed Yes | 66c | 381.01$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.47 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 58c | 347$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.19 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 31c | 328$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed No | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.33per pick | 49cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?Yes won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.