Bundesliga · resolved market
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69bb36869c01fcb81aa7c821ffaf48220d9a39feb711da879dd5087b0bcf9fe6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 12,671$8,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,889.1 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 8,270$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,614.96 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 18c | 3,558$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,916.19 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…62c9backed Yes | 18c | 3,339$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,737.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 37c | 3,160$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.74 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…db0abacked Yes | 19c | 2,968$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 74c | 2,666$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.77 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 77c | 2,504$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.83 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 21c | 2,011$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.42 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 6c | 1,972$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.73 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.95 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 25c | 1,561$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.19 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 58c | 1,407$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.66 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 31c | 1,109$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.7 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 49c | 606.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.62 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 69c | 600$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.32 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 18c | 381$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.42 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 32c | 363.49$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.26 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 306.66$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.85 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…9ab9backed Yes | 74c | 290.88$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.65 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 18c | 272.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.16 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 37c | 239.22$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 32c | 219.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 71c | 205.72$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.24 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 78c | 196.39$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 20c | 183.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.81 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 59c | 179.35$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 34c | 161.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.57 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 31c | 160$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 71c | 159.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 59c | 144$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 41 | 87.8%36 W · 5 L | +9.1wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Yes | 35c | 143.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.57 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 47c | 126.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 21c | 124.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 19c | 120$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…7699backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 21c | 113.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 34c | 104$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.12 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 34c | 97.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aea…17f6backed Yes | 19c | 97.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 58c | 97.63$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 18c | 90.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.21 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 58c | 88.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 34c | 81.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 81.36$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed No | 63c | 79.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 35c | 74.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 25c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 48c | 64.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…27d5backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 35c | 57.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 27c | 56.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 47c | 55.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…0ef8backed Yes | 33c | 55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…1678backed Yes | 33c | 55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdf…5bddbacked Yes | 28c | 53.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Yes | 48c | 52.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed No | 40c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ad…9636backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315d…b420backed Yes | 32c | 46.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 28c | 45.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…a103backed Yes | 62c | 42.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa399…b304backed Yes | 71c | 41.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cab…f004backed Yes | 68c | 40.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked No | 39c | 36.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 36c | 35.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 37c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…591abacked Yes | 34c | 33.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 65c | 28.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…3733backed Yes | 73c | 27.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf52…555ebacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked No | 77c | 25.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…088dbacked Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66d9…3146backed Yes | 78c | 20.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…10c8backed No | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?this page
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-14?No won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.