Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45048bda58bdb541afa1c878d4cd20bb43cbf991a6f8dd1431b79e94eb4add0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,122 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 47c | 25,987$12,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,773.09 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 25,244$15,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,222.25 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 53c | 21,744$11,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,524.97 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 11,232$3,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,835.37 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 4,366$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.56 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…1861backed Yes | 13c | 3,147$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 49c | 2,752$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.09 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.44 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 50c | 2,202$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 47c | 1,717$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.68 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 15c | 1,127$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.74 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Yes | 13c | 1,100$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 75c | 800.1$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.1 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Yes | 13c | 664.75$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.65 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…3224backed Yes | 15c | 614.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 15cpaid | +183.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed No | 50c | 601.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.51 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed No | 42c | 599.6$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 78c | 511.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.16 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed No | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +6.2wins | +0.41per pick | 32cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 61c | 491.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes | 13c | 460$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 14c | 450$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…816ebacked No | 67c | 444.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 13c | 433$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 27c | 405.54$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 42c | 385.83$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.51 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Yes | 8c | 333.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Yes | 13c | 327.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed No | 51c | 292.71$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 55c | 278.63$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.68 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 41c | 256.81$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 13c | 232.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked No | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aea…17f6backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 46c | 219.56$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked No | 48c | 208.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.32 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 36c | 190.79$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 74c | 165.91$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…39c8backed Yes | 14c | 162.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 16c | 154.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…199abacked No | 40c | 147.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.86 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…843bbacked Yes | 12c | 146$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 27c | 130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 14c | 125.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 50c | 109.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…7699backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 13c | 101.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 59c | 101$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e6…3bf7backed Yes | 13c | 100.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4f10backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 19c | 93.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Yes | 22c | 90.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 14c | 80.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 51c | 69.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…2a20backed Yes | 36c | 69.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…02b2backed Yes | 60c | 67.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked No | 41c | 66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 31c | 52.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 52c | 52.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed No | 57c | 52.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked No | 61c | 51.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 65c | 50.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…e846backed Yes | 47c | 42.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed No | 42c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5aa…1ebabacked No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…cf56backed No | 56c | 31.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…ea03backed No | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 49c | 26.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 46c | 25.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed No | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…8c9abacked No | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed No | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -6.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes | 58c | 17.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?Yes won
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.