MLB · resolved market
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a115432bcbafdd524c007562b63dec68ea9aebc28fad300e8b5213830d2cf08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Tampa Bay Rays, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 50,000$19,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,999.4 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 32,889$19,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,423.64 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 6,000$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 5,314$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.97 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 3,993$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.2 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 3,302$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.88 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 2,855$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.45 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 1,830$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.13 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 23c | 1,387$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.42 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 75c | 1,330$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.49 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 1,150$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 1,138$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.33 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 1,014$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.87 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 869.66$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.86 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…f1bfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 780.49$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.39 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 775.74$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.26 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 767.21$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.89 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 647.17$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.74 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 456.87$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.75 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 443.28$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.92 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 342.03$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.97 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 25c | 310.41$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 260.33$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.93 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 258.81$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.35 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 237$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.94 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 224.7$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.55 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 190$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fc…1e75backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 160$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 149$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 147.83$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 134.01$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 119 | 48.7%58 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Tampa Bay Rays | 28c | 129.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 70c | 124.52$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…bef3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc4…77cabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 101.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 86.2%25 W · 4 L | +8.3wins | +0.29per pick | 58cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 77.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 70.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 67.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 62.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 54.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 72c | 52.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 46.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 46.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tampa Bay Rays | 29c | 45.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 44.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 267 | 52.8%141 W · 126 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 44.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 42.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 36.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…a311backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 34.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 32.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 330 | 51.8%171 W · 159 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6a…cbfbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 25.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 316 | 50.6%160 W · 156 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…427abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 24.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf2…fa7bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 19.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 19.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 18.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue JaysTampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 11.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 12.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.