TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Toronto Blue Jaysof Tampa Bay Rays, Toronto Blue Jays
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,532
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,532 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d1a…0df6backed Tampa Bay Rays40c50,000$19,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,999.415451.9%80 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Toronto Blue Jays59c32,889$19,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,423.642,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Toronto Blue Jays60c15,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,00027254.4%148 W · 124 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Toronto Blue Jays62c6,000$3,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,28021748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays60c6,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40011952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays38c5,314$2,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,041.9711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Tampa Bay Rays40c3,993$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.223538.3%90 W · 145 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays39c3,302$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.884,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Tampa Bay Rays39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Toronto Blue Jays61c2,855$1,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.4592054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Toronto Blue Jays61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.9914938.3%57 W · 92 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Tampa Bay Rays40c1,830$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.1314340.6%58 W · 85 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays23c1,387$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.428,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x284d…59f7backed Toronto Blue Jays75c1,330$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.494652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Toronto Blue Jays60c1,150$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4609262%57 W · 35 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Tampa Bay Rays40c1,138$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.3373748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Tampa Bay Rays44c1,014$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.8775344.1%332 W · 421 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Toronto Blue Jays60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40044451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Toronto Blue Jays60c869.66$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.8656851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe74a…f1bfbacked Tampa Bay Rays39c780.49$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.392240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays39c775.74$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.263,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays60c767.21$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.896,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Toronto Blue Jays60c647.17$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.741,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Toronto Blue Jays60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24038353.5%205 W · 178 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Toronto Blue Jays61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19585952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Toronto Blue Jays60c456.87$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.756855.9%38 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Toronto Blue Jays61c443.28$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.921,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Tampa Bay Rays38c342.03$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.972,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays25c310.41$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.69,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Toronto Blue Jays62c260.33$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9328154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Tampa Bay Rays39c260$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.420138.8%78 W · 123 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Toronto Blue Jays62c258.81$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3512449.2%61 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Tampa Bay Rays39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013851.4%71 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tampa Bay Rays62c237$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.944,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Toronto Blue Jays61c224.7$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.552,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Tampa Bay Rays39c190$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.172154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2fc…1e75backed Tampa Bay Rays56c160$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+69.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Toronto Blue Jays51c149$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0129331.7%93 W · 200 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Toronto Blue Jays60c147.83$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.132650%13 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Tampa Bay Rays40c134.01$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.195,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Toronto Blue Jays60c133.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3366551.1%340 W · 325 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Tampa Bay Rays39c130$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.711948.7%58 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Tampa Bay Rays28c129.92$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.778,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Toronto Blue Jays62c129.03$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.035343.4%23 W · 30 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays70c124.52$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3bc…bef3backed Toronto Blue Jays61c122.95$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.95850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccc4…77cabacked Tampa Bay Rays47c101.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.354259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Tampa Bay Rays40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4068942.2%291 W · 398 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f17…b55dbacked Tampa Bay Rays50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502986.2%25 W · 4 L+8.3wins+0.29per pick58cpaid+78.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Tampa Bay Rays40c77.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.181,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Tampa Bay Rays63c70.51$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.422,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays60c68$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.25,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Toronto Blue Jays64c67.12$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.421,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Toronto Blue Jays62c66$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0847848.5%232 W · 246 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Tampa Bay Rays39c66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7412850%64 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Toronto Blue Jays62c62.9$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.946659.7%278 W · 188 L+1.9wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Toronto Blue Jays61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.461,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f50…069bbacked Tampa Bay Rays39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.416345.4%74 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Tampa Bay Rays39c54.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.441,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Toronto Blue Jays72c52.6$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7310846.3%50 W · 58 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Tampa Bay Rays46c46.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.621,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Toronto Blue Jays61c46.16$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1829553.2%157 W · 138 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Tampa Bay Rays29c45.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3784122.7%191 W · 650 L-81.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Toronto Blue Jays44c44.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.126752.8%141 W · 126 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Toronto Blue Jays60c44.35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7450954%275 W · 234 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Tampa Bay Rays40c42.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9182551.6%426 W · 399 L+3.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Toronto Blue Jays61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9817460.3%105 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc78…f1f5backed Toronto Blue Jays62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3226351.3%135 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc96b…438abacked Toronto Blue Jays62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3227452.6%144 W · 130 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Tampa Bay Rays49c36.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8167742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7e0…a311backed Toronto Blue Jays57c34.02$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.632227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-45.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Toronto Blue Jays34c32.97$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.711553%61 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Toronto Blue Jays61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.796150.8%31 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Toronto Blue Jays61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7915349.7%76 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50fd…ee77backed Toronto Blue Jays62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2633051.8%171 W · 159 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c6a…cbfbbacked Tampa Bay Rays39c32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.486950.7%35 W · 34 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Tampa Bay Rays59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.74,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Toronto Blue Jays61c26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.141,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07c9…9f5bbacked Toronto Blue Jays62c25.81$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8131650.6%160 W · 156 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7790…427abacked Tampa Bay Rays40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Toronto Blue Jays62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1948651%248 W · 238 L-18.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Toronto Blue Jays60c24.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.675350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Toronto Blue Jays62c22.58$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5889950.6%455 W · 444 L-24.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf2…fa7bbacked Toronto Blue Jays60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+54.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Toronto Blue Jays62c19.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.376,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Toronto Blue Jays62c19.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3770154.2%380 W · 321 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33fc…dc88backed Toronto Blue Jays61c18.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1222457.1%128 W · 96 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.