Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41321cf6f7de3f4cd158b99b3c3f51b0e1c807f5c3a7ab9d0140c24fbdf54b38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 71c | 12,452$8,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,663.36 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…24cabacked Yes | 6c | 7,950$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 37c | 5,136$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.52 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…dafbbacked Yes | 47c | 2,830$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.73 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 20c | 2,759$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.4 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 35c | 2,749$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.35 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a1…19c2backed Yes | 1c | 2,151$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 51c | 1,999$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.74 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 71c | 1,805$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.38 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…523fbacked No | 52c | 1,770$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.6 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f5…16e6backed Yes | 32c | 1,651$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.28 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2a…35a1backed Yes | 3c | 1,579$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…b977backed Yes | 50c | 1,278$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.02 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 1,192$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa776…a17bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,107$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 9c | 1,100$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf0…08a1backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 55c | 995.99$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.98 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 899.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9c…9b3abacked Yes | 6c | 833$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd611…b82fbacked Yes | 36c | 823.12$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…f512backed Yes | 34c | 792.09$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 24c | 791.59$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.61 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…9869backed Yes | 44c | 720.45$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.85 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…7eabbacked Yes | 3c | 683.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87aa…e7cebacked No | 74c | 673.42$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 70c | 590.79$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.14 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc7…0936backed Yes | 8c | 588.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Yes | 38c | 575$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.5 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…754ebacked Yes | 35c | 568.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…0f4dbacked Yes | 22c | 557.05$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.31 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed No | 72c | 552$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.08 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…ed82backed No | 65c | 551.23$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…93b6backed No | 62c | 550$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +5.7wins | +0.38per pick | 55cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…37d0backed Yes | 35c | 548.81$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 66c | 511.85$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.86 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…b716backed Yes | 29c | 506.36$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.8 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…f144backed Yes | 54c | 500.29$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.4 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked No | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8998…0a36backed No | 56c | 497.04$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +151.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…f570backed Yes | 18c | 451.42$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 57c | 422.01$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.01 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 34c | 419.26$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.52 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4a…c2a6backed No | 61c | 400$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +129.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Yes | 21c | 399.06$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…87c5backed No | 65c | 386$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…ccf4backed No | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 373.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 80c | 364$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.56 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed Yes | 28c | 357.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -52%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5198…22c1backed No | 59c | 336.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 10c | 332.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8e…d0eebacked Yes | 31c | 327.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…413ebacked Yes | 31c | 313.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9634…aae2backed Yes | 8c | 302.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Yes | 20c | 299.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa28a…eb9abacked Yes | 35c | 281.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69a8…4280backed No | 71c | 281.5$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…5448backed Yes | 34c | 280$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1768…897abacked No | 66c | 280$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 33c | 257.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d5…b033backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…bb81backed No | 51c | 249.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 51c | 246.57$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.33 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb37f…fdcfbacked Yes | 8c | 244.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 10c | 242.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 91 | 2.2%2 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 62c | 235.73$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.52 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4025…a309backed No | 72c | 220$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.64 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa973…9c96backed Yes | 38c | 210$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…eb4abacked Yes | 10c | 206.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…f748backed Yes | 39c | 205.47$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d65…beb4backed Yes | 49c | 204.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf98…d0bfbacked No | 74c | 203.51$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…41aebacked No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c22…76fabacked Yes | 28c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed No | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…40afbacked No | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 12c | 187.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 186.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 7c | 180$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…9989backed Yes | 7c | 175.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…e59fbacked Yes | 12c | 174.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 36c | 172.32$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.31 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d7…fdbfbacked No | 66c | 165.88$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…1645backed Yes | 31c | 162.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes | 42c | 148.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -10.1wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -55%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7828…9f2abacked Yes | 30c | 139.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 38c | 134.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f44…720abacked No | 60c | 131.95$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6142…367bbacked Yes | 28c | 130$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b09…e8efbacked Yes | 34c | 125.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…17e2backed Yes | 41c | 120.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…dedabacked Yes | 37c | 120$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 22c | 119.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe05a…0bdebacked Yes | 43c | 118.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd01…480dbacked Yes | 14c | 110.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa50d…c263backed Yes | 46c | 108.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?this page
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.