Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f478289d98ce38307785bfc98b1f05aaf31680ad52b498ec0a668098281eece
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 38c | 6,588$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,076.84 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +13.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed Yes | 39c | 5,201$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.27 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x049b…5a12backed Yes | 2c | 4,021$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…47c4backed Yes | 4c | 3,800$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.84 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 76c | 2,878$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.67 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbac9…ca59backed Yes | 4c | 2,752$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3716…238cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,477$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.08 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2536…89fabacked No | 49c | 2,425$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 2,219$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ff…3c75backed Yes | 3c | 1,800$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,631$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 198 | 7.1%14 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…3bc0backed No | 15c | 1,467$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.95 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed Yes | 61c | 1,377$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.31 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 16c | 1,362$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.33 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…c0efbacked Yes | 2c | 1,331$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…d725backed No | 15c | 1,235$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.31 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 21c | 1,234$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.04 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…0ddfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,126$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3176…3990backed Yes | 2c | 1,048$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,026$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…d84ebacked Yes | 54c | 981.58$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 5c | 889.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 2c | 818.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 199 | 23.1%46 W · 153 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcf…950ebacked Yes | 3c | 813.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d34…17e8backed Yes | 2c | 795.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 12c | 763$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.55 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a28…d58bbacked Yes | 5c | 750.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 42c | 742.13$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.69 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c33…ab72backed Yes | 7c | 732.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 2c | 705.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da9…d940backed No | 24c | 690.98$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 28cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe617…f251backed Yes | 73c | 680.55$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 36c | 660$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.86 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x743d…f77ebacked Yes | 65c | 617.64$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.12 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 4c | 600$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 24c | 592.24$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.45 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7d…f1f7backed Yes | 2c | 570.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed No | 8c | 570$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.07 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…905dbacked Yes | 64c | 559.41$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…5254backed Yes | 32c | 536.3$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.69 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…f748backed No | 19c | 517.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.09 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…b98abacked Yes | 57c | 483.92$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d66…79cabacked Yes | 8c | 469.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…0b2ebacked Yes | 32c | 450$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0382…c110backed Yes | 63c | 350$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Yes | 54c | 322$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.44 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 19c | 316.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.18 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f4…a7c9backed No | 34c | 310$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.26 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c12…9a6bbacked Yes | 13c | 308.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0620…2e62backed No | 49c | 307.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 26c | 289.32$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.67 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…8b3dbacked Yes | 42c | 259.36$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.84 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…c2c2backed No | 76c | 228.17$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 10c | 206$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbade…5c92backed No | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…352abacked Yes | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd6…1146backed Yes | 49c | 192.47$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a1…11e4backed Yes | 63c | 191.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ad…39c6backed No | 33c | 180.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.81 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 169.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked No | 22c | 168.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.91 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8559…441fbacked Yes | 8c | 168.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 72c | 163.57$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.14 | 97 | 9.3%9 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x478d…9ea9backed Yes | 65c | 163.03$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 44c | 160.41$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb965…01d8backed Yes | 73c | 157.5$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b94…4dcebacked No | 77c | 149.96$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff14…c6cabacked No | 33c | 147.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.48 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9389…711cbacked Yes | 65c | 147.92$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf72d…a2e0backed Yes | 14c | 147.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 51c | 146.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3698…7160backed Yes | 21c | 141.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f4…5228backed Yes | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…4829backed No | 23c | 138.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.56 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…a17bbacked No | 76c | 136.38$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e126backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…b306backed No | 16c | 132.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.89 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked No | 71c | 130.52$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…5b90backed Yes | 69c | 130.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.17 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 10c | 127$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 140 | 31.4%44 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d65…da6ebacked No | 48c | 125.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.82 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…b893backed Yes | 29c | 121$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe886…e553backed Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffb…b2f8backed No | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…f2eabacked No | 13c | 109.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e5…7087backed No | 16c | 106.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +170.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 49c | 102.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…3ffebacked Yes | 65c | 100.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63f…793cbacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c1…7380backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…1de9backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…1db9backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…dbbabacked Yes | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…7b5ebacked No | 43c | 96.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c0…6c7bbacked No | 29c | 90.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 33c | 90.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fda…7453backed Yes | 12c | 88.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac9…8d3fbacked Yes | 55c | 80.64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?this page
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.