Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x246559691ae64806ee51dcc5ca1d1216bf6e25d80127a3425b72ba559190e96f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,515,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,564,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,515,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 529 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed Yes | 1c | 104,429$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.61 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7277…ab80backed Yes | 65c | 95,577$62,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,582.48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd489…1278backed No | 25c | 65,550$16,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,965.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +295.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…54a2backed No | 30c | 59,200$17,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,499.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +234.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…2c6bbacked Yes | 30c | 41,300$12,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,224.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…47e5backed No | 77c | 40,987$31,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,369.48 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…c7c3backed Yes | 12c | 39,811$4,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,677.38 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019b…4becbacked Yes | 26c | 36,000$9,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,216 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…c10ebacked Yes | 28c | 32,700$9,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,057.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…ec63backed Yes | 70c | 23,700$16,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,613.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd63c…2507backed Yes | 31c | 23,650$7,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,236.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9571…e1cdbacked Yes | 75c | 23,250$17,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,367.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2341…3535backed No | 22c | 23,135$5,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,063.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +356.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…767dbacked Yes | 70c | 21,500$15,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,071.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…eb22backed Yes | 75c | 21,450$16,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,023.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe28c…1f32backed Yes | 75c | 20,850$15,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,574.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…eac6backed No | 72c | 17,300$12,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,792.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32fe…4510backed No | 70c | 16,800$11,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,972.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4b…b3f4backed No | 22c | 14,606$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,329.94 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.39per pick | 52cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc8…7586backed Yes | 70c | 14,000$9,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,814 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23a7…ce7ebacked Yes | 27c | 14,000$3,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,808 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x943c…1d17backed Yes | 42c | 13,798$5,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,738.89 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…d9dbbacked No | 74c | 13,300$9,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,404.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…fda9backed No | 70c | 13,300$9,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,936.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked No | 73c | 12,840$9,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,468.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362b…3859backed No | 25c | 12,550$3,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,362.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +293.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b5…037fbacked No | 72c | 12,208$8,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,415.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…9bf6backed No | 70c | 11,200$7,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf465…28bbbacked No | 74c | 11,200$8,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,867.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…6beabacked No | 73c | 10,907$7,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,962.19 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…c56ebacked No | 13c | 10,185$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,826.08 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…4d53backed No | 69c | 9,500$6,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9064…4f3ebacked No | 72c | 9,000$6,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,493 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5c…53ddbacked Yes | 75c | 8,897$6,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,664.15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50c9…3b6cbacked No | 72c | 8,700$6,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,409.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714b…6c2fbacked No | 26c | 8,459$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,246.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +419.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a03…6c01backed No | 72c | 8,300$6,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b3…4dfbbacked No | 69c | 8,300$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 16c | 8,000$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,737.59 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +7.5wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 60c | 7,823$4,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,094.77 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 22c | 7,075$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,511.54 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8691…afc1backed No | 73c | 7,000$5,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 27c | 6,795$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.71 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4d…55edbacked No | 72c | 6,700$4,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9619…ed6abacked Yes | 30c | 6,700$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 20c | 6,649$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,286.09 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked No | 75c | 6,335$4,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6594…9a61backed No | 20c | 6,268$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,026.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 24cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf10…eb9ebacked No | 71c | 5,850$4,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…5e48backed No | 69c | 5,850$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…677fbacked Yes | 26c | 5,300$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…3041backed No | 4c | 5,225$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,016.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +343.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 19c | 5,040$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,082.4 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7e…23ebbacked No | 72c | 5,000$3,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea7…bcd9backed Yes | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…e9a5backed No | 71c | 4,534$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…a745backed No | 5c | 4,531$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,304.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 16cpaid | +1,100.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdba…36c4backed No | 70c | 4,405$3,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f88…2a93backed Yes | 29c | 4,334$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66f…8e0cbacked No | 75c | 4,200$3,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 0c | 4,145$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +261.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…92a8backed Yes | 70c | 4,000$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9e…6781backed No | 29c | 4,000$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,832 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +242.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9b…8ab9backed No | 24c | 4,000$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,028 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +311.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…7a99backed Yes | 75c | 4,000$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…55b3backed Yes | 70c | 4,000$2,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,792 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc33…2533backed Yes | 71c | 4,000$2,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,848 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2740…d9d2backed No | 30c | 4,000$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,808 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +235.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…2544backed No | 28c | 4,000$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,864 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +252.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7d…d9debacked No | 23c | 3,989$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,086.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +384.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb45…b5d6backed Yes | 1c | 3,642$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbce…0194backed No | 73c | 3,583$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 5c | 3,568$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf310…c809backed No | 74c | 3,455$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c01…f327backed Yes | 26c | 3,455$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…9261backed No | 3c | 3,451$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +651.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bf…84c7backed No | 22c | 3,362$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636.27 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…5f6abacked No | 75c | 3,339$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked No | 18c | 3,300$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.83 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67fb…abfcbacked Yes | 75c | 3,300$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…fed0backed Yes | 75c | 3,250$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…b45dbacked Yes | 75c | 3,200$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…a7b9backed Yes | 75c | 2,800$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 9c | 2,775$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.6 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…bb91backed No | 52c | 2,732$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.47 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 49c | 2,598$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.55 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 3c | 2,542$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2796…b4f0backed Yes | 79c | 2,480$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda3…ef6abacked Yes | 71c | 2,400$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519c…1248backed Yes | 70c | 2,400$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaec…d73abacked No | 25c | 2,400$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 25cpaid | +308.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea1…a1cebacked No | 30c | 2,220$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +231.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdd…5ac4backed Yes | 70c | 2,200$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…d1ecbacked Yes | 71c | 2,200$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…6b93backed No | 25c | 2,200$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +301.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 65c | 2,172$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.27 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…cdcbbacked Yes | 27c | 2,129$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.12 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd812…d87dbacked No | 30c | 2,095$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +235.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed No | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038e…9d60backed Yes | 26c | 2,000$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?this page
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.