Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cf61b7b84b6ac2e0c619867dd6966e688b43e4fd4c866423da2f757c58f0a9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $421,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $457,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $421,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 547 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x714b…6c2fbacked Yes | 15c | 20,230$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,151.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +419.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed No | 33c | 11,257$3,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,717.59 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +145.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed No | 76c | 10,485$7,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,979.48 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bf…84c7backed Yes | 22c | 9,957$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,762.71 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 69c | 8,814$6,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,078.64 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…6beabacked Yes | 35c | 8,391$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,446.13 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x504d…dae8backed No | 56c | 7,681$4,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,302.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…b4cbbacked No | 59c | 5,690$3,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,342.54 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked No | 37c | 5,654$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.94 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 61c | 5,230$3,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,173.14 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdba…36c4backed No | 64c | 5,071$3,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,235.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked No | 59c | 4,001$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,354.8 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -7.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 37c | 3,615$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,292.74 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 34c | 3,573$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.11 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x943c…1d17backed No | 67c | 3,297$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.47 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b00…d78bbacked No | 53c | 3,293$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.7 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3838…2c6fbacked No | 77c | 3,260$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x294d…b362backed No | 58c | 3,253$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.02 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +90%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 30c | 3,239$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.92 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 36c | 3,175$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.38 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 15c | 2,948$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.48 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 63c | 2,812$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.05 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7e…23ebbacked No | 66c | 2,781$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…2b33backed No | 45c | 2,716$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.48 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913d…1508backed Yes | 23c | 2,662$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f3…16b3backed No | 70c | 2,656$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…8d24backed Yes | 74c | 2,627$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.88 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 49c | 2,625$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.61 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +161.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…b686backed Yes | 37c | 2,500$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ba…c0eebacked Yes | 19c | 2,472$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +137.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…d5f6backed Yes | 50c | 2,282$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.66 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfb…bcb8backed Yes | 32c | 2,161$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 6c | 2,152$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.33 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa56…4967backed No | 54c | 2,021$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked Yes | 45c | 2,000$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +167%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2a…984dbacked No | 32c | 1,861$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6d…0162backed Yes | 24c | 1,822$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5caa…953fbacked No | 71c | 1,723$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.57 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…dd6bbacked No | 30c | 1,716$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed No | 62c | 1,700$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 67c | 1,667$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.54 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +13.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x472a…2dadbacked Yes | 66c | 1,594$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…3115backed Yes | 29c | 1,571$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +155.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…1c37backed Yes | 61c | 1,544$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.4 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…c5cdbacked Yes | 80c | 1,500$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 38c | 1,435$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.25 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77da…2fd2backed No | 70c | 1,403$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 32c | 1,347$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Yes | 45c | 1,324$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda5…e16dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,318$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.04 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…30abbacked No | 37c | 1,308$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa898…71c1backed No | 7c | 1,293$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.47 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 50c | 1,266$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.26 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 69c | 1,250$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.37 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ae…3f6abacked Yes | 39c | 1,221$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.16 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 61c | 1,199$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.14 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -6.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…352abacked No | 75c | 1,179$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.82 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef8e…7465backed Yes | 68c | 1,164$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b57…20b1backed No | 50c | 1,142$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.05 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…79a3backed No | 70c | 1,100$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked No | 78c | 1,090$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes | 60c | 1,083$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.69 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 75c | 1,022$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.33 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…07f3backed No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…e587backed No | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed No | 80c | 999.96$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.97 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc786…f62ebacked No | 62c | 984.5$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed No | 75c | 975.24$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.31 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed No | 74c | 969.71$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.53 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Yes | 75c | 959.91$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked No | 31c | 950$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.57 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14d7…ffcabacked No | 64c | 945$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…ec98backed Yes | 36c | 945$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d88…d5e8backed No | 80c | 944.5$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9d…d9babacked Yes | 32c | 921.39$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.54 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…47e5backed Yes | 40c | 903.32$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.61 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…1399backed No | 34c | 895.15$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.34 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed Yes | 58c | 894.77$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.66 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked No | 42c | 887.33$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 59c | 834$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x665c…c435backed Yes | 19c | 826.44$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 27c | 800$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 198 | 7.1%14 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Yes | 29c | 799.16$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.4 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 40c | 788.04$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.37 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2e…41f7backed Yes | 18c | 780$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.75 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcf…950ebacked No | 8c | 777.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 39c | 775.45$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.7 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…f9f2backed Yes | 25c | 773.21$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…8e88backed No | 78c | 766.99$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…0ad1backed No | 40c | 754.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743d…f77ebacked No | 67c | 726.23$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.17 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78a…9d89backed No | 62c | 725.28$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe538…e2e1backed No | 68c | 718.96$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed No | 9c | 709.28$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.84 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 24c | 704.91$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.74 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked No | 72c | 703.11$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.56 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d4…92f5backed Yes | 20c | 700$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +342.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f5…a937backed Yes | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?this page
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.