Commodities · resolved market

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23f58c297e30cc7010474d546317c964ac953b5f218dc8337024dc09589cc012

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $45,004
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $39,809

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,004 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Commodities
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x024b…435abacked No	1c	7,505$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	9cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No	26c	2,370$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$623.03	121	26.4%32 W · 89 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aea…b686backed Yes	62c	2,322$1,439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$882.59	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b3…4484backed No	28c	2,235$618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$618.47	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No	28c	1,083$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.83	63	20.6%13 W · 50 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	73c	1,067$775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.09	144	29.9%43 W · 101 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a5d…17adbacked Yes	76c	961.71$729 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.67	37	64.9%24 W · 13 L	+6.5wins	+0.18per pick	47cpaid	+58.8%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9660…8bb6backed No	32c	800$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.48	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+2.9wins	+0.26per pick	56cpaid	+60.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa095…6040backed No	10c	800$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	19cpaid	+48.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes	72c	700$507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.07	154	46.8%72 W · 82 L	+17.9wins	+0.12per pick	35cpaid	+69.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7ac9…8d3fbacked No	26c	569.25$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.75	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x938e…2ee3backed No	35c	569.09$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.81	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa53b…4021backed Yes	68c	531.96$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.76	294	47.3%139 W · 155 L	+34.3wins	+0.12per pick	36cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No	35c	522.88$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.96	353	34%120 W · 233 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc4…6770backed No	31c	499.99$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	49	51%25 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3c4d…4829backed No	20c	491.11$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.6	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	16c	458.53$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.33	273	22%60 W · 213 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	30c	399.99$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.2	930	40.3%375 W · 555 L	-67.5wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed No	3c	350.94$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.04	65	29.2%19 W · 46 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08fe…355fbacked No	4c	332.32$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe538…e2e1backed No	29c	310.34$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.6wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	7c	300$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.7	198	7.1%14 W · 184 L	-10.4wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-69.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74b4…6beabacked Yes	72c	275.89$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.24	36	66.7%24 W · 12 L	+4.9wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfcdc…fcc7backed Yes	73c	273.97$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.97	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+114.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x49a9…82b9backed Yes	73c	273.97$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.97	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+76%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3237…5658backed Yes	74c	264.29$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.72	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	18c	260.22$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.45	308	39.6%122 W · 186 L	-17.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed No	22c	255.76$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.07	97	9.3%9 W · 88 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82e2…ec75backed No	29c	253.12$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.3	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.21per pick	35cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	64c	230.69$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.03	212	28.8%61 W · 151 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ac…dbbabacked No	37c	210.24$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.16	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed No	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-28%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4eb6…5517backed No	38c	200$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed No	35c	200$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	51	31.4%16 W · 35 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9fd…69febacked Yes	64c	200$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.31per pick	52cpaid	+45.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72a0…c059backed Yes	80c	156.41$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.82	63	46%29 W · 34 L	+7.0wins	+0.11per pick	35cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes	73c	149$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.14	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad31…5217backed No	29c	136.17$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.49	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	40cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x510b…da8dbacked Yes	63c	130$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.4	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb75…f496backed No	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	+11.0wins	+0.22per pick	12cpaid	+159.2%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	32c	120$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	238	46.6%111 W · 127 L	+13.3wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	30c	119.4$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.96	1,045	34.6%362 W · 683 L	-93.1wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes	67c	105.57$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.78	51	51%26 W · 25 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5b5…e85ebacked No	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+54.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa72a…7825backed No	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8853…6d22backed No	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2402…2bfcbacked No	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc158…8912backed No	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b8…65e8backed No	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.24per pick	46cpaid	-58.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5de3…8df2backed No	27c	100$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x86a0…a974backed No	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ac…806ebacked Yes	72c	100$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	64	75%48 W · 16 L	+7.6wins	+0.12per pick	63cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes	73c	100$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3731…4bfabacked No	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d5c…b756backed Yes	73c	100$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x216d…a4e1backed No	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9389…711cbacked Yes	72c	100$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb965…01d8backed No	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51f2…38efbacked No	27c	99.73$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.2	57	24.6%14 W · 43 L	-8.2wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x361d…761ebacked No	12c	96.97$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.4wins	-0.41per pick	57cpaid	-75.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed No	31c	90$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.23	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-4.2wins	-0.16per pick	47cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9bd…3d50backed No	31c	90$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.31per pick	44cpaid	+56.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0327…5e15backed No	40c	87.5$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa99f…b306backed No	34c	87.27$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.38	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+29%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53a3…e5afbacked No	16c	84.34$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.23	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3ca…b1d6backed No	18c	80$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0941…a52fbacked No	36c	75.08$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.68	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb63f…793cbacked No	32c	75$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8117…31c1backed No	36c	70.61$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.42	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf887…6b54backed Yes	61c	70$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.1	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.26per pick	60cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes	69c	67.14$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.49	131	31.3%41 W · 90 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd444…893fbacked No	37c	66.76$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.7	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc330…e76ebacked No	31c	64.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.92	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bde…53f3backed No	37c	62.89$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.27	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1205…fd78backed No	37c	62.65$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.18	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…ffaabacked Yes	68c	60$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+75.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f19…bf1ebacked Yes	70c	57.25$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.25	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9976…8b3dbacked Yes	61c	53.47$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.96	64	31.3%20 W · 44 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8b9…6e8cbacked No	37c	52.76$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.52	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.32per pick	57cpaid	-59%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x302e…88ccbacked No	32c	52$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.64	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-3.4wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d14…8864backed Yes	74c	51.35$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.35	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d88…1695backed No	35c	50$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0081…eb50backed Yes	71c	50$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.5	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9d9…5c41backed No	31c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.7wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc255…62f8backed No	31c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.5wins	-0.35per pick	49cpaid	-74%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1626…be12backed No	25c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.36per pick	39cpaid	+72.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad64…50a7backed Yes	73c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb35…88b9backed No	27c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b3…9279backed No	32c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab8d…3027backed No	25c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ef…fe3abacked No	31c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-4.2wins	-0.35per pick	43cpaid	-82.6%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x98e9…dab9backed No	25c	46.42$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.61	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bba…4e37backed No	26c	40.85$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x919d…f748backed Yes	74c	40.54$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.54	105	51.4%54 W · 51 L	+6.6wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x576f…5254backed Yes	74c	40.54$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.54	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x991f…8f78backed No	27c	38.85$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.49	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb042…14f3backed Yes	63c	37.96$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.05	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-3.9wins	-0.19per pick	47cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x660e…b3c2backed No	31c	37$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.47	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ff2…cf64backed No	36c	35.86$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.91	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	30c	34.84$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.51	390	34.4%134 W · 256 L	-33.8wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?this page
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?No won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)No won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?No won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?No won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?No won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?Yes won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?No won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?No won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?No won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?No won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?No won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?No won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?No won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?No won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?No won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?No won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?No won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?No won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?No won
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?No won
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?No won
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?Yes won
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?Yes won
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?Yes won
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?Yes won
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event