Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39a2759958a776fcf8599230426077863d94bf39da37d6a871497669c653c467
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed Yes | 31c | 5,819$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.11 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x388a…e87cbacked Yes | 27c | 1,500$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.99 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 2c | 1,330$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 70c | 1,327$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.45 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +13.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4573…2c90backed Yes | 15c | 1,291$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…6a92backed Yes | 33c | 1,144$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…dec5backed Yes | 7c | 920.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3716…238cbacked Yes | 10c | 911.16$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.45 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…f395backed Yes | 5c | 750$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 82 | 4.9%4 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 17c | 736.37$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.55 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb357…199bbacked Yes | 43c | 710.73$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 23cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 72c | 705.32$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.49 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 6c | 700$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…0b2ebacked Yes | 9c | 700$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…467dbacked Yes | 8c | 643.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 45c | 627.15$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.38 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 3c | 602.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…ba6cbacked No | 65c | 533.88$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 6c | 510.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 199 | 23.1%46 W · 153 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 50c | 488.41$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.78 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 19c | 456.9$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.01 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…8b3dbacked Yes | 19c | 416.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 36c | 410.18$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.36 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0749…6de9backed Yes | 19c | 399.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae4…9cdbbacked Yes | 6c | 388.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 41c | 365$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.95 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 358.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 19c | 342.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…78cabacked No | 54c | 323.43$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…5658backed Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e78…1ab9backed Yes | 44c | 299.13$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.62 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…fca1backed Yes | 12c | 265.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…b306backed No | 50c | 265$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ad…39c6backed Yes | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed No | 50c | 246.79$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.47 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…f160backed No | 54c | 242.5$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…3bc0backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf72d…a2e0backed Yes | 7c | 202.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…d5a3backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82e2…ec75backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9389…711cbacked Yes | 44c | 200$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 30c | 194.82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…5b90backed Yes | 43c | 189.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc2…298ebacked No | 54c | 189.85$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c12…9a6bbacked Yes | 26c | 189.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 43c | 172.51$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.51 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 55c | 172$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…4829backed Yes | 47c | 171.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.26 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa6…2fdebacked No | 60c | 162.12$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed No | 61c | 161.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.87 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47d…2ad1backed Yes | 57c | 157.59$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 33c | 143$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…f748backed No | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb671…32d1backed Yes | 59c | 126$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 47c | 120.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | -94.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77ab…3a5abacked No | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…2a7fbacked Yes | 25c | 117.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked No | 53c | 116.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…aa53backed Yes | 56c | 113$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58a1…11e4backed Yes | 55c | 108.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 59c | 105.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 97 | 9.3%9 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 25c | 105.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f18…353fbacked No | 56c | 101.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…bc97backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad6…8b65backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de3…8df2backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3731…4bfabacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…1fc6backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…1de9backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked Yes | 49c | 98.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1929…346bbacked Yes | 11c | 95.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e1…0e3abacked No | 62c | 94.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf418…b2ccbacked No | 66c | 91.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 47c | 91.54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…7d3cbacked Yes | 29c | 90.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -10.8wins | -0.26per pick | 45cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed No | 71c | 90.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…5254backed Yes | 31c | 90.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5080…d89abacked Yes | 38c | 88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked No | 70c | 85.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | -33.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…6ac9backed Yes | 31c | 79.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f95…458ebacked Yes | 28c | 76.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…dbbabacked Yes | 38c | 74.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac9…8d3fbacked No | 60c | 71.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed No | 63c | 68.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9138…0690backed Yes | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35da…40b5backed No | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b9…d8e0backed No | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe28e…ac9fbacked Yes | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b9…a41ebacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -67%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 186 | 37.6%70 W · 116 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5e…8c8bbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa23…03ccbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb35…88b9backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f0…1e62backed Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -6.0wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8d02…2753backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…b4a2backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?this page
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.