TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,330
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,845

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,330 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8b3…4484backed Yes16c12,704$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.786848.5%33 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes13c4,673$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.747131%22 W · 49 L-10.0wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-46.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x77e7…028dbacked Yes16c2,481$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes16c1,891$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.734534.5%119 W · 226 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes9c1,635$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.63707.1%5 W · 65 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-77.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x938e…2ee3backed Yes26c1,526$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.55536.4%20 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b3…9989backed Yes4c1,311$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.02684.4%3 W · 65 L-0.3wins0.00per pick5cpaid+123.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb357…199bbacked Yes18c1,114$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick23cpaid-84.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa719…0f74backed Yes6c1,110$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.464228.6%12 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+84.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c9e…352abacked No74c1,012$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.31833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes5c980.03$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3419923.1%46 W · 153 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No66c860.4$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.445151%26 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a5d…17adbacked Yes27c859.89$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2303764.9%24 W · 13 L+6.5wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+58.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8ffb…b2f8backed Yes23c841.58$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.56875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+67.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72a0…c059backed Yes12c763.17$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.116346%29 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.11per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes4c755.74$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.281246.5%8 W · 116 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ac…e915backed Yes4c742.43$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes7c721$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1721228.8%61 W · 151 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes19c639.39$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9127322%60 W · 213 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes24c634$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4615446.8%72 W · 82 L+17.9wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+69.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes2c627.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.082934.1%12 W · 281 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes25c622.13$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.3535334%120 W · 233 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c4d…4829backed Yes30c598.99$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.743342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ad…39c6backed Yes25c550$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.52347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79c1…42acbacked Yes2c540$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…13e5backed Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252825%7 W · 21 L-6.6wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No70c499.99$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15093840.2%377 W · 561 L-69.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9976…8b3dbacked Yes14c479$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.636431.3%20 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5898…211cbacked Yes7c467.79$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7119.1%1 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-69.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes29c467.37$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5414429.9%43 W · 101 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-37.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37ea…f395backed Yes6c450.93$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.98824.9%4 W · 78 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-68%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd78a…9d89backed No76c421.55$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.371050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e78…1ab9backed Yes21c393.87$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.711729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes23c353.4$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.613131.3%41 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf53a…a93fbacked Yes16c322.27$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.72683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+73.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c12…9a6bbacked Yes17c279.8$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.524020%8 W · 32 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-46.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes24c271.89$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.256320.6%13 W · 50 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee9a…030bbacked No69c236.96$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.24366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ac9…8d3fbacked Yes23c234.95$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.39837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac83…239cbacked Yes23c223.01$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.291050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc330…e76ebacked No68c202.44$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.78450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd8…1de3backed Yes24c200.01$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.561250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x631e…f0acbacked Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b5…e85ebacked No80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+54.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3692.9%2 W · 67 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-64.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de6…e6f5backed Yes23c200$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+50.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dab…840bbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1632…2b59backed Yes18c196.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d3…f160backed No72c177.03$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.57560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35da…40b5backed No76c171.36$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.71683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadaf…f9f2backed Yes12c156.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.741346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick27cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0081…eb50backed Yes23c150$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x576f…5254backed Yes15c139.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.943935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcd3…1a5abacked Yes26c138$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.881952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d44…3bc0backed No75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332075%15 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+51.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes43c124$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.921,04834.5%362 W · 686 L-94.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2539…34f0backed Yes9c117.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc2…298ebacked No71c113.66$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510b…da8dbacked Yes24c113$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.123339.4%13 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes25c107$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.753839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07e0…1db9backed Yes10c103.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.372433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e9…dab9backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3565…8631backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82e2…ec75backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x907c…23c1backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257838.5%30 W · 48 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad64…50a7backed No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17f5…614abacked Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0585…1de9backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7e1…0e3abacked No57c94.75$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bfd…e73ebacked Yes13c89.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.890%0 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6b9…a41ebacked Yes25c87.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.05922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-67%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d88…1695backed Yes22c80$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51f2…38efbacked Yes27c76.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.925724.6%14 W · 43 L-8.2wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-36.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0bde…53f3backed No70c66.34$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes20c66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.25036%18 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db0…b4a2backed No77c65.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes21c63.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.441,0309.2%95 W · 935 L-25.0wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-55.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6b9…d8e0backed No76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.63875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd0…57dbbacked Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x179d…f2f5backed No62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2762…2cf6backed Yes21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.58939.3%35 W · 54 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf92…7e3fbacked No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a5e…8c8bbacked Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-55.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa23…03ccbacked Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1330%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca3a…9806backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2549…91f5backed Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f0…1e62backed Yes28c45.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.741910.5%2 W · 17 L-6.0wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-84.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xe28e…ac9fbacked Yes26c45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.760%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.839034.4%134 W · 256 L-33.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x244b…c0fdbacked Yes42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+39.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes29c36.34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5423846.6%111 W · 127 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7609…1443backed Yes35c30.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x134e…d718backed No65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.773971.8%28 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39bc…f994backed No79c26.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x936a…7a5abacked No78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.51233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-44.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b57…20b1backed No58c20.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.471747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec41…2c24backed No79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.