Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dd1f06973b667ea65c25dd5735480bb811f8a342e7cd93045634a4891ff5341
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a8a…7699backed Yes | 38c | 12,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,559.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…6beabacked No | 73c | 10,144$7,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.12 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 61c | 8,655$5,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,364.27 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +13.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed No | 66c | 8,546$5,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,867.97 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Yes | 29c | 6,065$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8f…a884backed Yes | 2c | 5,163$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac9…ca59backed Yes | 2c | 5,005$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…0ddfbacked Yes | 3c | 3,460$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed No | 76c | 3,144$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.65 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ff…3c75backed Yes | 3c | 2,900$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x049b…5a12backed Yes | 1c | 2,138$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 66c | 1,919$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.21 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3716…238cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,661$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.46 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 27c | 1,648$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.38 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x388a…e87cbacked Yes | 36c | 1,500$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,446$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 31c | 1,442$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.3 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 29c | 1,279$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.84 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x326b…33ebbacked Yes | 9c | 1,209$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,082$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.69 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a89…ff1dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,032$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8853…9afebacked No | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 5c | 937.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 76c | 887.82$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.66 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…e096backed Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed Yes | 56c | 799.99$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.28 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 4c | 649.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 199 | 23.1%46 W · 153 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb15…1038backed No | 54c | 581.47$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd1…1798backed Yes | 68c | 542.84$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58a1…11e4backed Yes | 59c | 515.96$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 4c | 457.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…3bc0backed No | 44c | 452.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.31 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf72d…a2e0backed Yes | 10c | 433.36$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcf…950ebacked Yes | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…f395backed Yes | 4c | 400$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 82 | 4.9%4 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…b98abacked Yes | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8e…dd59backed No | 51c | 392.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.48 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ad…39c6backed No | 43c | 264.8$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.94 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a61…8c32backed No | 38c | 261.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…e76ebacked No | 43c | 258.26$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…41aebacked No | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4027…ac7fbacked No | 40c | 249.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bde…53f3backed No | 43c | 249.47$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…724cbacked Yes | 54c | 229.41$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 61c | 219.92$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.16 | 97 | 9.3%9 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c33…ab72backed Yes | 12c | 208.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…4829backed Yes | 58c | 205.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed No | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -6.6wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9389…711cbacked Yes | 56c | 200$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…1de9backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f4…5228backed Yes | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 41c | 199.83$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.29 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdba…36c4backed No | 62c | 197.09$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 55c | 194.91$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06b5…6319backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…93cfbacked No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 21c | 171.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa17a…379dbacked Yes | 8c | 170.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…f748backed No | 21c | 165.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.75 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b98…e27dbacked Yes | 13c | 159.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da9…d940backed No | 39c | 155$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 28cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 28c | 138.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa962…5860backed Yes | 27c | 130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08eb…9ca4backed Yes | 38c | 129.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c12…9a6bbacked Yes | 39c | 126.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1289…42aabacked Yes | 55c | 116.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…f570backed Yes | 19c | 116.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 56c | 116$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 70c | 115$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | -94.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked Yes | 61c | 114.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.78 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…8769backed Yes | 71c | 111.72$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x171b…cd92backed Yes | 47c | 108$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 43c | 106.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 106.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 56c | 102.62$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd059…4bd5backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -73%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…44e3backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…b756backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…9573backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad6…8b65backed Yes | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…5b90backed Yes | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…1de3backed No | 53c | 96.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x909f…431abacked No | 61c | 91.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed Yes | 64c | 88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…b306backed Yes | 67c | 88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ad…b913backed No | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…8087backed No | 50c | 83.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…d738backed Yes | 36c | 83.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c4…be5dbacked Yes | 54c | 83.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1f…222bbacked No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b9…df93backed Yes | 61c | 81.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…eedabacked No | 50c | 81.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f95…458ebacked Yes | 37c | 79.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…b510backed No | 55c | 79.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe194…1cecbacked Yes | 79c | 71.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?this page
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.