Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5815cfd8808989d87c165bdd666c9f9df5db28698d53d3f5d1f2b0147d191bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bf5…b17fbacked Yes | 17c | 8,210$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.29 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked No | 61c | 5,129$3,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.97 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 56c | 4,350$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.69 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…ee78backed Yes | 16c | 4,201$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 8c | 3,347$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.9 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 1c | 2,441$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4b…b3f4backed No | 37c | 1,750$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.55 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.39per pick | 52cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 45c | 1,676$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.25 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 65c | 1,656$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.47 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…6d55backed Yes | 2c | 1,509$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x359d…92debacked Yes | 18c | 1,472$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…0eabbacked Yes | 21c | 1,406$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb357…199bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,400$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 23cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 77c | 1,221$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.74 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 3c | 1,204$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab22…09aebacked Yes | 21c | 1,127$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d4…92f5backed No | 26c | 1,120$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +342.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 1,100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2a…35a1backed Yes | 5c | 1,038$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 13c | 943.42$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.12 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…a15abacked Yes | 2c | 939.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 49c | 761.99$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.93 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Yes | 39c | 719.13$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.05 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -8.1wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…e55ebacked Yes | 53c | 707$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…7134backed No | 65c | 682.05$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 3c | 674.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…bae4backed No | 17c | 665.72$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 11cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…f265backed Yes | 15c | 653.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…d3b5backed Yes | 58c | 626.86$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77b…b478backed Yes | 4c | 603.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bf…84c7backed No | 17c | 600$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10cc…7660backed Yes | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee6…a798backed Yes | 74c | 594.57$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de1…816fbacked No | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +443%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 16c | 580$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c33…ab72backed Yes | 5c | 571.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed No | 46c | 543.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05b5…037fbacked No | 77c | 523.39$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…c56ebacked No | 72c | 516.29$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.29 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacfe…7ce7backed Yes | 56c | 506.59$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.42 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…f395backed Yes | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 82 | 4.9%4 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d0…5407backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…d9d6backed Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3896…ece6backed Yes | 10c | 499.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked No | 42c | 499.97$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 2c | 489.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 48c | 479.18$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.44 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…705ebacked Yes | 53c | 474.37$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…b977backed Yes | 58c | 470.72$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.95 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b2…8c10backed Yes | 43c | 462.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9582…9891backed No | 43c | 460.09$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…af22backed No | 45c | 449.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…7996backed Yes | 22c | 447.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…d54cbacked Yes | 56c | 435.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.27 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5c…c056backed No | 44c | 403.12$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.68 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…07b2backed Yes | 59c | 399.83$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.82 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 56c | 391.95$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.41 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa28a…eb9abacked Yes | 58c | 379.5$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcffd…17e5backed Yes | 34c | 374.61$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 33c | 367.2$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.11 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5939…1779backed Yes | 20c | 351.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…0f4dbacked Yes | 44c | 346.66$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.29 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f5…16e6backed Yes | 57c | 344.49$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.09 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…8999backed Yes | 67c | 335.46$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.62 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…fca1backed No | 41c | 329.69$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…67ccbacked Yes | 51c | 328.97$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…7306backed Yes | 6c | 324.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…f144backed Yes | 65c | 316.85$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.92 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 5c | 313.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 73c | 313.28$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.22 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +13.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x10ba…10b8backed Yes | 4c | 310$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…adb6backed No | 78c | 300.51$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae7…80fcbacked Yes | 77c | 300$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2053…b14abacked Yes | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd07b…ff40backed No | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +157.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…7b2bbacked Yes | 76c | 288.39$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -5.7wins | -0.40per pick | 48cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 5c | 285.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 199 | 23.1%46 W · 153 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…7176backed Yes | 73c | 283.09$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaf…ee69backed No | 39c | 220.74$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…64c9backed No | 49c | 218.87$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.23 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f1…137cbacked No | 33c | 215.48$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.36 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b09…e8efbacked Yes | 58c | 209.03$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa398…f6cbbacked Yes | 7c | 206.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9634…aae2backed Yes | 20c | 205.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23a8…8004backed Yes | 32c | 204.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 21c | 204.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.76 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 41c | 202.07$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e9…8c20backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9e…1944backed Yes | 72c | 200$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…4464backed No | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710f…09a6backed No | 50c | 198.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23bb…8908backed Yes | 18c | 194.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed Yes | 52c | 191.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -52%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb06e…47eebacked Yes | 58c | 190.83$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881e…516bbacked Yes | 53c | 189.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed No | 76c | 184$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 51c | 181.4$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a39…7d63backed Yes | 29c | 180.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed No | 44c | 179.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.19 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?this page
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.