MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x325d126cd3b9b8181d7032e402145dd51b2dd0f3bdc3c16d349f75928b838b29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Atlanta Braves, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $271,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $281,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 102,644$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 43,970$20,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,424.03 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 43,081$21,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,159.5 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 35,804$18,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,827.95 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 15,954$7,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,615.16 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 13,000$5,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,540 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 12,448$6,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000.66 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 10,641$5,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,894.79 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 9,400$4,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,169.83 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 9,300$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.65 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 9,188$4,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,449.19 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…648dbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 7,977$4,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,307.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 7,414$4,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,003.31 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 7,279$3,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,341.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 7,182$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,019.71 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 7,057$3,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,316.79 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 6,867$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,845.72 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 4,545$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.75 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 72c | 4,385$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.96 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 4,100$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.62 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 3,295$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.89 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 3,226$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.94 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Atlanta Braves | 27c | 3,167$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 2,434$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.89 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Chicago Cubs | 43c | 2,425$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.03 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 2,191$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 1,694$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.8 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,566$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.98 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 1,438$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.11 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 1,416$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.45 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 1,411$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.48 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 1,232$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.53 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 1,056$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.44 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 1,030$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.66 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 1,024$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.85 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 1,005$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.75 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 1,000$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 947.21$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.72 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…42b0backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 922.79$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.94 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 877.18$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 770.66$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.98 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atlanta Braves | 26c | 750$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 702.29$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.87 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 661.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.64 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…f08abacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 648.71$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x291d…2f8bbacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 634.04$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 611.5$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.29 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 587.35$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.6 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 500.02$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.42 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 460.53$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 436.49$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.17 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 417.02$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 417$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 416$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.52 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 322.5$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.35 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…4a56backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 298.21$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 254.33$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.57 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 251.87$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.02 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…f29bbacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 202.51$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Atlanta Braves | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef5…4e98backed Chicago Cubs | 67c | 172.31$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 171.71$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.46 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Atlanta Braves | 10c | 170$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 147.77$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 144.42$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 142.7$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.64 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed1…1657backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 140.73$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 139.54$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 129.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 126$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Atlanta Braves | 35c | 124.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 124.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 118.48$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…2d79backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 109$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 99.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 98.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 94.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 94.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 87.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 84.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta BravesChicago Cubs won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 4.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.