TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,547
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,071

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,547 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5234…4c4fbacked Over47c21,318$10,050 inLost-$10,049.684847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under53c21,018$11,110 inWon+$9,908.5410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over34c1,623$551 inLost-$551.214,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under64c1,049$675 inWon+$373.8839948.1%192 W · 207 L-1.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a2…3c41backed Over74c669.36$497 inLost-$497.515857%90 W · 68 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over26c527$137 inLost-$137.0275244%331 W · 421 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Over26c281$73 inLost-$72.5982741.1%340 W · 487 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under53c187$99 inWon+$87.8999744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under40c113.32$45 inWon+$68.365,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under73c110$80 inWon+$304,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85e…bcdebacked Over62c100.66$62 inLost-$62.41560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over25c100$25 inLost-$2537357.4%214 W · 159 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under74c80.9$59 inWon+$21.441,91153.1%1,014 W · 897 L+43.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under63c76.38$48 inWon+$28.1582551.6%426 W · 399 L+3.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over44c63.79$28 inLost-$28.185,12654.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L+231.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under78c52$41 inWon+$11.261,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Under41c49.1$20 inWon+$28.7928043.2%121 W · 159 L-23.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x49dd…a40bbacked Under53c37.36$20 inWon+$17.564158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under66c36.13$24 inWon+$12.411,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over69c30$21 inLost-$20.72,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0011…4cbabacked Over74c27.16$20 inLost-$2030963.1%195 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4978…ea9abacked Under55c25.28$14 inWon+$11.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-45.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under53c21.13$11 inWon+$9.931,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under65c20$13 inWon+$7.126854.1%145 W · 123 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under79c14$11 inWon+$2.8857046.8%267 W · 303 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.