MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd474f469556cae64b06595af897e6d7f98c1f5682e1c01314057092b09d13cfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b4e…0232backed Under | 51c | 113,898$58,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,809.79 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 49c | 62,520$30,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,634.64 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Over | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,600 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Over | 49c | 21,688$10,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,622.97 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Over | 51c | 13,126$6,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,667.18 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 10,899$5,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,474.87 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 50c | 10,260$5,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,129.9 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 50c | 9,300$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9747…961ebacked Under | 51c | 6,180$3,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,028.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Under | 52c | 3,319$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.59 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Over | 50c | 3,028$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 51c | 2,708$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.72 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 50c | 2,060$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…2120backed Under | 50c | 2,050$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.93 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 49c | 1,870$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.52 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 1,800$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.71 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Under | 51c | 1,701$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.45 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 50c | 1,599$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.5 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 50c | 1,318$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.06 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 49c | 1,133$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.98 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Under | 51c | 1,120$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.22 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 51c | 980.98$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.24 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 49c | 955.62$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.93 | 446 | 48.7%217 W · 229 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 50c | 941.3$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.65 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 49c | 790.19$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.88 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 51c | 686.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.36 | 274 | 49.3%135 W · 139 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 629.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.43 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Over | 50c | 603.9$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.95 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 51c | 549.2$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.11 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 50c | 542$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.4 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 54c | 513.45$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.74 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…8cdcbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 51c | 499.8$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.9 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Over | 51c | 494.98$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.44 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Over | 50c | 454.84$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.42 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…7aa6backed Over | 50c | 400.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 382.16$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.72 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 49c | 360.88$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.05 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 49c | 347.59$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.77 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 56c | 338.18$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.04 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 51c | 317.04$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.35 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Under | 55c | 292.07$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.07 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 50c | 291.48$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.74 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 49c | 283.63$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.66 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 50c | 271.82$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.91 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 50c | 242.43$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.22 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed1…1657backed Over | 50c | 217.18$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.59 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcebf…832ebacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 50c | 173.96$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 50c | 159.36$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 47c | 146.96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.02 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 49c | 143.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.53 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Over | 50c | 137.91$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 50c | 103$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 51c | 103$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ad…dffebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 51c | 95.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 51c | 89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 50c | 88.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6646…0c6ebacked Under | 52c | 88.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 799 | 43.2%345 W · 454 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 66c | 74.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c97…82adbacked Over | 52c | 73.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe36…5ceabacked Over | 50c | 71.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Under | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Over | 50c | 64.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef6…9b93backed Over | 50c | 62.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd7…8e4abacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed Over | 50c | 59.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Under | 51c | 57.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…f3c5backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…5dd2backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 184 | 58.2%107 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…1a0dbacked Under | 51c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5this page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta BravesChicago Cubs won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 4.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.