TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c97…82ad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT6842.6%29 W · 39 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$35.08
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$42.28
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$33.7
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$39.55
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.09
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$39.55
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$38
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$38.67
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padresbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Soxbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+87.2%+$52.3
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$54.4
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$53.21
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$46.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.