Serie A · resolved market
AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x051d9f888183b49448a98dfa9c14ddaafd70bbffbd7a04d6bfce3218c68a177d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 10,348$4,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,975.21 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over | 53c | 7,854$4,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,691.47 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 49c | 6,567$3,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.07 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 4,294$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under | 53c | 2,835$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 47c | 1,447$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.23 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 860.92$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.63 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Under | 48c | 795.65$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 47c | 753.34$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.07 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…4c5cbacked Over | 53c | 679.25$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 606.65$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.01 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Over | 51c | 596.78$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.12 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 52c | 562.15$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.83 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…6df9backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 51c | 499$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.58 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 480.15$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.61 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 46c | 440$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 70c | 430.29$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.29 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 47c | 402.96$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.57 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 47c | 353.19$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.19 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Under | 49c | 303.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Over | 53c | 301.89$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.89 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Under | 11c | 292.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 71c | 271.13$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.63 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 50c | 209.16$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.16 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Over | 48c | 194$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e2…264cbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 71c | 171.8$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…07e5backed Over | 52c | 162.19$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 53c | 150.69$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 145.51$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 47c | 140.75$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…b58fbacked Under | 49c | 136.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…c668backed Over | 51c | 127.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde60…804fbacked Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc041…a87bbacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf63…ba76backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4009…f2b4backed Over | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e5…9a50backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c97…82adbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 49c | 87.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 50c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Under | 51c | 82.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 50c | 79.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff38…1d79backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 51c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…a3eebacked Over | 53c | 75.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 53c | 73.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 53c | 71.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 71c | 69.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +14.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 47c | 68.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Over | 49c | 55.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 48c | 49.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 50c | 45.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +7.4wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 48c | 44.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 48c | 44.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387b…4367backed Over | 53c | 43.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…62acbacked Over | 53c | 41.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…44bcbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +9.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x415d…a37cbacked Under | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c0…7e02backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 50c | 35.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6e…8b2dbacked Over | 52c | 32.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 30.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82fc…ed4ebacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 27.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 50c | 25.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 51c | 25.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…c51bbacked Over | 51c | 23.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…a489backed Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8684…bfaabacked Under | 49c | 20.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 53c | 20.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5this page
- AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)AS Roma won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)AS Roma won
- Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)AS Roma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.