TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x79c0…7e02

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$196.06
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$206.06
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$733.56
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$193.81
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$196.1
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$218
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$192.83
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$191.1
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 20 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
Hellas Verona FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Hellas Verona FC vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$14
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.91
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+67.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$199.11
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$511.11
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$291.18
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$252
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.51
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+267.1%+$40.07
Paris FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Paris FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$32.83
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+68.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.