Serie A · resolved market
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb303ec8d373e0b7e9395da4d19df0b361809897310fd7378eee2d7387737f29c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…f022backed Yes | 57c | 3,479$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 1,203$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.72 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 1,161$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.51 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6b…42a7backed No | 38c | 770.67$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked No | 45c | 705$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.15 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 43c | 659.28$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.76 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 57c | 431.58$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -11.7wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 24c | 393.65$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.24 | 119 | 64.7%77 W · 42 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…439ebacked Yes | 56c | 355.71$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 48c | 309.04$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.85 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed No | 40c | 217.5$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 56c | 208.66$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.85 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 44c | 203.66$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.05 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd99…c06cbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 43c | 170.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Yes | 61c | 147.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 45c | 128.53$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.69 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…420abacked Yes | 21c | 117.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7902…ef0dbacked No | 47c | 114.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 55c | 99.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -6.1wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…2c71backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f11…4529backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -78%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 86.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0f…e047backed Yes | 37c | 86.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 75c | 85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 75c | 82.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 77c | 80$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 47c | 79.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 55c | 65.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 64c | 60.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Yes | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 43c | 54.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked Yes | 53c | 46.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 55c | 43.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42eb…a02dbacked No | 45c | 42.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x426d…b976backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c0…7e02backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbc…4572backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 33c | 30.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…bbd5backed Yes | 56c | 30.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b53…4722backed Yes | 56c | 30.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4f…ac4bbacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 45c | 26.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 78c | 26.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Yes | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…d9a5backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…3b36backed Yes | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0a…46a4backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked No | 54c | 18.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…4be3backed Yes | 56c | 18.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)AC Milan won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5Under won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.