Serie A · resolved market
Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4efeecbca82811500e2ae9d48377d0a7958e91f212c55da355d38abb69e10811
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- US Sassuolo Calcioof US Sassuolo Calcio, AC Milan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c1…7047backed AC Milan | 64c | 3,115$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 45c | 2,395$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.89 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 18c | 1,220$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.4 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 6c | 622.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.37 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked AC Milan | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 40c | 170$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed AC Milan | 23c | 128.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked AC Milan | 23c | 71.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 17c | 68.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked AC Milan | 42c | 68.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked AC Milan | 31c | 35.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4394backed AC Milan | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 40c | 25.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)this page
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)AC Milan won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5Under won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.