Serie A · resolved market
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x835567d91c43e9ccb7bd958dd05a6594ec37720293b27e85eb166a7f9deb421a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 0c | 12,459$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 4,743$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.07 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 45c | 4,454$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.68 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 74c | 4,085$3,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,006.73 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 55c | 2,245$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.74 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 56c | 1,607$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.73 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 1,214$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.64 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 1,178$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.64 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 1,071$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.48 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 56c | 894.48$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 57c | 884.72$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 48c | 599.97$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e7…59e5backed Under | 63c | 583.01$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 56c | 541.07$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 44c | 483.64$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.07 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 25c | 332$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.64 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 74c | 312.18$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.93 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 41c | 300.21$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.79 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Under | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.1 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…4d3dbacked Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 43c | 242.22$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.07 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 61c | 238.69$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.13 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 36c | 232.67$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.26 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…47a4backed Over | 70c | 230$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7902…ef0dbacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 44c | 175.55$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.31 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 48c | 166.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.82 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over | 59c | 165.86$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 55c | 165.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.06 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 44c | 158$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.48 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 55c | 148.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.61 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 55c | 145$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 32c | 135$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Over | 60c | 129.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 51cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1847…d94abacked Over | 23c | 118.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…4c5cbacked Over | 56c | 116.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…18acbacked Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 56c | 104.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…e3c2backed Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f166backed Over | 52c | 96.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 55c | 93.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 44c | 92.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Under | 51c | 78.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 46c | 75.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…bd2dbacked Under | 54c | 70.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 55c | 66.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 33c | 65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 46c | 58.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 26c | 58.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under | 37c | 56.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…2442backed Under | 44c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x923a…e723backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Under | 40c | 50.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 71c | 47.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 68c | 45.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…4939backed Under | 42c | 45.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Under | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…ffdebacked Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcac6…bdf8backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 40c | 39.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 55c | 36.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c0…7e02backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 60c | 32.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 73c | 32.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Over | 77c | 32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…9cd3backed Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Over | 47c | 31.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d90…4912backed Over | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 43c | 28.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a6…1e08backed Under | 62c | 27.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…a631backed Over | 56c | 26.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 76c | 25.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 73c | 25.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…729cbacked Over | 69c | 24.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0524…9dcebacked Over | 48c | 23.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8684…bfaabacked Under | 44c | 22.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)AC Milan won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.