Serie A · resolved market
US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20de1e2f87fb899b16086c97bd0d1fccbbb7d1d83b281e78580435f28cd44dab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 2,458$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.48 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed No | 50c | 1,946$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 1,586$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.14 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Yes | 66c | 1,527$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 64c | 1,016$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.76 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 47c | 600$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 16c | 592.17$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.75 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 49c | 554.82$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.69 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 52c | 497.33$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.72 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -11.7wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 51c | 394.97$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.54 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 50c | 380$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 50c | 367.18$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.57 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b00…9a5abacked Yes | 56c | 358.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked No | 49c | 258.86$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.29 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 51c | 239.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.59 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 53c | 236.92$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.42 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Yes | 59c | 220.34$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc984…2ec9backed No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 49c | 141.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…044ebacked Yes | 51c | 130$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 101.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac9…14e8backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa92…15f4backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…9ac0backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 29c | 75.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…dc9bbacked Yes | 53c | 75.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed No | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…2719backed No | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde60…804fbacked Yes | 53c | 64.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 63.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked No | 49c | 59.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 51c | 58.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked No | 40c | 49.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 58c | 48.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed90…d1ffbacked Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…ffdebacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79c0…7e02backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78aa…a384backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ac…4025backed No | 32c | 35.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 41c | 34.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b31…ca0dbacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed No | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +96%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Yes | 51c | 26.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed No | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x297d…8941backed Yes | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Yes | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…b088backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…efaabacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)US Cremonese won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-2.5)US Cremonese won
- Spread: US Cremonese (-1.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: US Cremonese (-2.5)SS Lazio won
- US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.