Serie A · resolved market
US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b6e81000e3823abdc46143a9da7cd984fad6576ea845ed5e747621710da493e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,200 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 64c | 15,698$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 44c | 15,424$6,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,648.69 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 10,581$6,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,275.74 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 8,334$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,151.83 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 45c | 5,606$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,106.06 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 55c | 3,907$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.76 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.33 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…c2dbbacked Under | 56c | 2,478$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29be…559cbacked Over | 44c | 2,281$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9dc…0472backed Over | 44c | 2,241$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 34c | 2,222$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.22 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 44c | 2,155$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.8 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde10…f2ccbacked Under | 56c | 2,044$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 43c | 1,800$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.67 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 37c | 1,778$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.29 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 63c | 1,557$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.02 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 44c | 1,377$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.02 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 58c | 1,349$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.37 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 60c | 1,186$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.95 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…095ebacked Over | 47c | 1,050$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 39c | 1,040$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.39 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +11.2wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 37c | 918.92$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.92 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 33c | 678.22$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.07 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Under | 56c | 651.79$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 33c | 536.36$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.36 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 42c | 496.22$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.81 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 42c | 450$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Over | 54c | 427.96$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.86 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 50c | 399.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.99 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under | 57c | 396.39$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.87 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 363$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.65 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Under | 56c | 360$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 302.7$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.49 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Under | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…9ea3backed Under | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafb2…0942backed Under | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Over | 28c | 250$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd1…d33cbacked Under | 55c | 240$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…32d8backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…92d6backed Over | 35c | 216$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +93%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 47c | 208.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.62 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Over | 34c | 206.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.62 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 36c | 205$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.05 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 63c | 201.59$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.59 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ca…2ab7backed Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 40c | 200$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3946…b565backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 60c | 199.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.45 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 35c | 169.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.49 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 55c | 162.6$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.43 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 55c | 162.6$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.43 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa761…46c1backed Over | 45c | 144.44$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…bad4backed Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 51c | 137.58$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.58 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…dc9bbacked Over | 49c | 136.24$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 55c | 135.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Over | 38c | 133$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.46 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Over | 25c | 132.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 41c | 127.59$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 44c | 125$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over | 45c | 118$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 42c | 116.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…8fd0backed Under | 49c | 108.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 57c | 107.11$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 45c | 106.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 73c | 106.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 10c | 104.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 11cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 57c | 101.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4892…27bcbacked Under | 56c | 100.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Over | 51c | 100.14$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 52c | 96.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 41c | 92.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Over | 63c | 91.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 26c | 88.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.73 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +14.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 44c | 88.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9f…0de7backed Over | 43c | 86.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 42c | 86.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 55c | 85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 75c | 85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 60c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 40c | 84.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 37c | 84.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 37c | 80.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.83 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 16c | 80$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 66c | 80$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)US Cremonese won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-2.5)US Cremonese won
- Spread: US Cremonese (-1.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: US Cremonese (-2.5)SS Lazio won
- US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.