Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00cb2606f96220101063ae4ed0313ed7683a0bee4ec9af85c38d4ea23e23a0f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Nantesof Stade Rennais FC 1901, FC Nantes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 41c | 1,100$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.85 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed FC Nantes | 76c | 1,095$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed FC Nantes | 58c | 874.85$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.27 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 34c | 830.88$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.02 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 42c | 689.43$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.56 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 17c | 677.54$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.67 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC Nantes | 79c | 546.55$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.31 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked FC Nantes | 59c | 500.44$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.18 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 26c | 468.55$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.56 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed FC Nantes | 59c | 462.27$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.6 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…2898backed FC Nantes | 42c | 459.73$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.69 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed FC Nantes | 74c | 273.19$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…439ebacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 22c | 208.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 42c | 179.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked FC Nantes | 58c | 173.78$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.99 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 7c | 168.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 27c | 146.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 42c | 143.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…88c2backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 43c | 135.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed FC Nantes | 60c | 130.13$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked FC Nantes | 59c | 99.09$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 42c | 91.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed FC Nantes | 48c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FC Nantes | 47c | 77.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed FC Nantes | 58c | 73.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x267d…3852backed FC Nantes | 58c | 71.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 41c | 70.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf70…957bbacked FC Nantes | 58c | 67.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 43c | 67.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 19c | 55.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed FC Nantes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c0…7e02backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed FC Nantes | 62c | 44.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked FC Nantes | 59c | 33.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked FC Nantes | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC Nantes | 58c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 57c | 29.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…6c60backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 41c | 27.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 50cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e23…94b2backed FC Nantes | 58c | 26.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…cb5ebacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 61c | 20.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)this page
- Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)FC Nantes won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes: O/U 2.5Over won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.