Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe1fcc421c79d08ca3e34f34fd414f86020aa7ee35cdad2b9313f098f88a5a92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stade Rennais FC 1901of FC Nantes, Stade Rennais FC 1901
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC Nantes | 3c | 1,162$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…715ebacked FC Nantes | 3c | 902$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9590…a4d8backed FC Nantes | 3c | 899$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…c76bbacked FC Nantes | 3c | 891$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…7b7abacked FC Nantes | 3c | 890$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e17…9eb3backed FC Nantes | 3c | 865$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5d…77afbacked FC Nantes | 3c | 858$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cfa6backed FC Nantes | 3c | 841$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ba…dc55backed FC Nantes | 3c | 839$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b76…6943backed FC Nantes | 3c | 835$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…8bfcbacked FC Nantes | 3c | 831$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4b…2498backed FC Nantes | 3c | 831$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e3…bae4backed FC Nantes | 3c | 818$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22b…b34dbacked FC Nantes | 3c | 413$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)FC Nantes won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)FC Nantes won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes: O/U 2.5Over won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.