TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,172
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,429

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,172 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa9f5…a96fbacked Under30c6,633$2,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,017.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under41c5,326$2,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,169.282240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over60c5,322$3,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.379458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under34c5,217$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.321,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over61c4,754$2,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860.241,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over70c3,401$2,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.2324349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under41c2,242$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.1552550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under42c2,189$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.9333145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under30c1,579$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.46650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over59c1,495$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.914143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over69c1,300$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40326660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over67c1,235$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.336762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under41c1,100$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.0812738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over65c999.99$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3508046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over75c999.23$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.912441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under26c563.77$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.3226046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over73c552$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9115649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under41c541.52$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.023336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under29c509.01$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.7545233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under42c482.6$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6912448.4%60 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under42c443.99$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.4810942.2%46 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over55c403.69$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.6627748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Under45c395.4$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.932343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under41c352.66$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5926354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over76c351.6$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0529637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under41c274.9$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7187344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa203…11bcbacked Under34c272.75$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.741520%3 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-54.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over62c263.15$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under9c255.93$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.426936.2%25 W · 44 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over59c246.74$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.163363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under10c236.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.651546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under43c227.33$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.982740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under41c212.45$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.130448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…32f8backed Over69c195$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.45450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over59c191.77$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.631136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Under48c185.18$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.04520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-68%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under11c171.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.924420.5%9 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under36c152.29$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.459348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under36c136.23$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.041526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84e5…8aa8backed Over72c132.12$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under41c132.09$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1618351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under36c126.07$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.389058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under31c124.06$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6948649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Over78c122.73$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.58650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8796…c744backed Over66c114$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.761717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8582…959fbacked Over44c109.37$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.04650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc454…8c31backed Under37c104.02$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.49633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over72c103.87$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.746642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over57c99.41$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.74862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under34c99.31$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.611050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over42c94.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6826346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc92d…9691backed Over61c90$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.11040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under41c81.66$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.488150.6%41 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa295…98bcbacked Over59c80.35$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.943354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over53c80.18$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5216224.1%39 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under53c68.77$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7714544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over59c66.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1110964.2%70 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over62c65.51$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.771952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f96…e7f0backed Under30c63.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.16540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.44949%24 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Under32c59.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.183354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Under23c58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.342050%10 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+51.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over69c54.89$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.117149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over54c51.89$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.911181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.28per pick54cpaid+57.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.513144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over58c49.87$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.955354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under22c48.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.691947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over40c48.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.277755.8%43 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under42c48.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.277648.7%37 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeca6…08ffbacked Under42c46.16$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.391457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+46.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under42c45.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.37058.6%41 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over64c45.71$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5322854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8514…cbb0backed Over50c41.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over60c40.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.272853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.28643%37 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over55c39.43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.832147.6%10 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+96.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over62c38.08$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.641163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under33c36.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.975860.3%35 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb006…3458backed Over59c36.37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.911338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over59c33.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.563351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Over59c33.05$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.553056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2912…6817backed Over50c31.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.68728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-46.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over73c31.09$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Under42c27.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.613086.7%26 W · 4 L+9.2wins+0.31per pick56cpaid+62.6%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Under43c25.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.131435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over53c25.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7510364.1%66 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8684…bfaabacked Under41c24.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.251833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Over56c24.34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.712972.4%21 W · 8 L+6.1wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+57.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2e27…9967backed Over69c21.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.77366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Over75c19.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.931553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over68c19.71$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.239050%45 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over68c19.62$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.283354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over66c19.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.66837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc504…8cfebacked Over71c17.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.984100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.