Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x506a18091bd28657f5e53668205e4268a9ab20a776bcb723098f498d19c30868
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 4,663$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.05 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 4,383$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.87 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…0da5backed Over | 54c | 3,404$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…5f81backed Over | 52c | 2,830$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…f13cbacked Over | 2c | 2,570$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 64c | 2,108$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.85 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Under | 50c | 1,986$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…3841backed Over | 37c | 1,971$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 36c | 1,603$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.96 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 36c | 1,603$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.96 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 1,320$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.74 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +346.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23f7…cb68backed Over | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 74c | 643.9$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.26 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 634.09$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.07 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 69c | 495.69$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.39 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 64c | 438.48$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.85 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 74c | 334.7$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 75c | 328.33$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -48%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 21c | 299.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 25c | 251.03$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 44c | 199.32$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.04 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Over | 49c | 190.16$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 50c | 178.57$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.09 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 30c | 159.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 158.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 24c | 151.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Under | 49c | 135.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +236.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 52c | 106.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…8aa8backed Over | 40c | 96.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked Over | 28c | 93.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 64c | 90.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 27c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 45c | 78.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 37c | 77.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 72c | 76.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 46c | 65.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 56c | 61.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 70c | 61.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 30c | 55.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 51c | 53.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 80c | 50.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 50c | 50.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 80c | 46.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 68c | 43.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 55c | 40.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 64c | 40.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Under | 49c | 39.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 69c | 38.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Over | 52c | 33.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc772…41adbacked Over | 35c | 33.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…03dcbacked Under | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Under | 64c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 64c | 26.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 49c | 24.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 59c | 23.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 64c | 23.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over | 51c | 21.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…9046backed Under | 75c | 17.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 66c | 15.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)FC Nantes won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)FC Nantes won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes: O/U 2.5Over won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.