Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24de5c34d6c63ae17ce3ed87e8f45537e16eb29a7a5c957cf6a4ada4a4fb76ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe544…bafebacked Yes | 58c | 1,296$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 702.08$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.93 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed No | 48c | 387.52$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 42c | 181.21$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked No | 48c | 164.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 52c | 92.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…4e46backed Yes | 52c | 87.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 68.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 52c | 56.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 48c | 46.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 47c | 33.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 54c | 29.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Yes | 52c | 28.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Yes | 72c | 16.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)FC Nantes won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)FC Nantes won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes: O/U 2.5Over won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.