TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,582
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,633

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,582 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd146…9bf0backed Under55c4,581$2,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,538.5545936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c5…5dccbacked Over51c3,039$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over58c2,590$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.466,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefd4…51b1backed Under51c2,165$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-53.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c1,821$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.184,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Under50c1,581$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.461631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over48c1,527$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.793132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under38c1,056$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.172142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Under43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4302850%14 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4907444.6%33 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4906439.1%25 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5104148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56082763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under51c969.96$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.681560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over62c923.16$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.876842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over48c899.13$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.556139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4007959.5%47 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under52c799.95$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.5841850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c684.96$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.232,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30017062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under34c494$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.963348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over44c491.38$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.1796645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over47c461.67$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.678643%37 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under37c457.97$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3888635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over48c454.17$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.176451.6%33 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c400$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20255751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2084151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over48c390$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.87439.2%29 W · 45 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Over50c320$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16014354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over44c318.18$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1821250%106 W · 106 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under50c307.75$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.8722049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over47c297.87$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.873033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1334…4ce4backed Under44c293.18$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Over49c244.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.98350.6%42 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Under32c235$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.21020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.272955.2%16 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked Under38c211.32$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803333.3%11 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over50c211$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.514355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0822242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f1c…dc61backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010147.5%48 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b03…f273backed Under52c199.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.99560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Over48c190.25$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.938831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003956.4%22 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under6c173.62$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42565.4%3 W · 53 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+150.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under53c152.07$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.381,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512652.4%66 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7518449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over44c148.91$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3920956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under50c144.3$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.157844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over55c135$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.755044%22 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over58c129.27$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.857254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed Under24c123.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+46.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over44c122$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3214055%77 W · 63 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under10c121.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8810634%36 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over78c117$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.742552%13 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick69cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over64c112.58$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3259247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Under20c110$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.925339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over48c105.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.684353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f46…76f5backed Under49c104.52$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.176354%34 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5115738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518037.5%30 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522650%13 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over58c96.25$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5336545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under45c95$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7545751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x041e…bc83backed Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under42c94.16$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1441343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over66c83.46$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1774644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d4…3a29backed Under51c80.16$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.68425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4011457%65 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under41c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.483345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under35c75.58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.563928.2%11 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-54.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Under55c73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.153540%14 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over44c68.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2818851.6%97 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.52528%7 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over66c62.04$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.287162%44 W · 27 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x944e…c3aabacked Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+43.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011248.2%54 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under53c53.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2627955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked Under52c51.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277745.5%35 W · 42 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under52c51.22$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.561,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed Over57c50.07$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.695457.4%31 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over44c47.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3873258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over47c46.79$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.835941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under42c46.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2620440.7%83 W · 121 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over76c45.68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7974156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Under32c42.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.566445.3%29 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3f…eadfbacked Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.823517.1%6 W · 29 L-7.1wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-54.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.828362.7%52 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Under49c40.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.711858.5%69 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9fb…c51bbacked Over48c39.9$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.752055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe743…ab5fbacked Over48c39.9$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022356.5%126 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over56c35.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.419441.8%81 W · 113 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under51c32.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6469851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.