Premier League · resolved market
Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e458c82d3823b7c34ac095e659802fc7bcac593578534b0d3c5749472c976d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 21,006$15,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,671.05 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 26c | 19,240$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,002.37 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 64c | 5,356$3,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.31 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 25c | 1,886$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.35 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 69c | 1,739$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.13 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 21c | 1,431$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 32c | 1,062$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.84 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 74c | 969.63$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.27 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 74c | 934.67$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.91 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 23c | 871.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 29c | 705.24$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.52 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Over | 29c | 690$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 78c | 563.01$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.65 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 71c | 490.07$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.36 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 484.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.08 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 46c | 431.5$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.49 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 62c | 396.24$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.77 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…67b9backed Over | 50c | 378.05$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 29c | 313.86$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.02 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 19c | 305.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b03…f273backed Under | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2af…3880backed Over | 26c | 194.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…2ca9backed Over | 13c | 188$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 186.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 25c | 167.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 80c | 137.58$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 19c | 130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 79c | 105.32$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 220 | 57.7%127 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 12c | 89.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 14c | 88.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 12c | 86.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 73c | 78.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa730…9b7cbacked Under | 64c | 77.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 27c | 74.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 38c | 71.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 76c | 66.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 184 | 63%116 W · 68 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 33c | 65.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Over | 19c | 54.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 29c | 53.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 74c | 51.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 70c | 47.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Under | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 25c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…d4d4backed Under | 61c | 40.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Over | 43c | 35.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 38c | 31.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 39c | 31.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 73c | 20.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed Under | 74c | 14.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Everton FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Everton FC won
- Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Everton FC (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.