Premier League · resolved market
Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x279994cc5d095914ee18543f818ae7e08685f47266a36c8214834cfa82b78aab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 58c | 11,136$6,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,489.92 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 5,535$2,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.12 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.98 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 48c | 2,083$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.63 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 44c | 1,368$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.89 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 55c | 1,320$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 44c | 1,174$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.19 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…ea4fbacked Over | 57c | 1,012$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 28c | 983.69$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.27 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 72c | 849.31$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.5 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddb…b423backed Under | 49c | 840.72$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 819.39$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.88 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 32c | 784.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Under | 50c | 505$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.15 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Under | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 56c | 482.32$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 56c | 458.43$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.56 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 42c | 452.38$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 42c | 391.69$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.3 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d4…8c7fbacked Under | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfb…b96cbacked Over | 55c | 361$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 52c | 346.15$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.15 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 7c | 261$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 40c | 258$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 44c | 245.45$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.45 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 53c | 229.39$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…c484backed Under | 59c | 201.69$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…11bcbacked Under | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked Over | 44c | 194.55$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.95 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…31b4backed Over | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b69…dfcabacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 147.47$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.02 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d8…c70fbacked Over | 69c | 145.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed5…472bbacked Under | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 11c | 116.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Under | 53c | 107.84$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 53c | 106.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 106.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 72c | 101.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Under | 74c | 101.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 26c | 101.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 44c | 99.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 26c | 99.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.35 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde29…804cbacked Over | 44c | 94.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…34c0backed Under | 53c | 88.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 26c | 87.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…b0debacked Under | 27c | 78.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c3…443ebacked Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 47c | 67.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 64c | 67.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Over | 27c | 66.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 28c | 61.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…afc3backed Under | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 71cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 27c | 59.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 51c | 57.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 58c | 51.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…007abacked Under | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…8719backed Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Under | 43c | 39.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 52c | 28.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 72c | 27.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 74c | 24.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…bf7cbacked Under | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Over | 61c | 19.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Under | 70c | 18.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 65c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Everton FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Everton FC won
- Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Everton FC (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.