Europa Conference League · resolved market
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01ca5e65fe62c6b4070a253832d423980cff3584a3196a170da00cba04dae12a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 4,569$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.12 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 51c | 3,922$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.01 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 55c | 3,273$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.62 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 3,022$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.72 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Under | 71c | 2,802$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…c3c7backed Under | 50c | 2,801$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked Over | 50c | 2,577$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 2,222$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.22 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Under | 48c | 1,724$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.66 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 52c | 1,106$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.05 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd119…28abbacked Over | 52c | 1,100$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.07 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…6df9backed Over | 53c | 931.26$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 47c | 901.68$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.28 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 797.26$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.38 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 47c | 677.7$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.47 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 50c | 600.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.41 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae7…1eebbacked Over | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 67c | 467.47$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.52 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 68c | 456.13$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…a1d7backed Under | 66c | 454.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.77 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 52cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 63c | 439.24$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.59 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 48c | 418$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.36 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Over | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 49c | 405.84$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.98 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x344f…1a45backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 50c | 349.97$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 47c | 349.1$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.08 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Under | 48c | 340$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.8 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 327.31$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.22 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 52c | 326.92$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 48c | 316.45$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.68 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 47c | 313.3$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.25 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 51c | 310.07$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.93 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 47c | 299.96$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.98 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 50c | 297$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 48c | 288$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 52c | 248.51$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.72 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7599…4293backed Over | 47c | 210.87$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 15c | 201$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 50c | 200.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 47c | 199.37$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.66 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 51c | 197.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.28 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecb…03fbbacked Over | 52c | 186.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 27c | 185$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…aaeebacked Over | 51c | 180.39$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…2641backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Under | 55c | 162.6$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.06 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…6da4backed Under | 49c | 143$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 129.38$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Over | 47c | 129.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 48c | 125.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Under | 48c | 121$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 52c | 120.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under | 48c | 109.52$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 52c | 106.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…4484backed Under | 59c | 105.64$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Under | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Under | 61c | 97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 47c | 95.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.42 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Over | 53c | 90.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…7a96backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Over | 43c | 87.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 50c | 85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 50c | 80.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 47c | 75.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…31b4backed Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 71.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 46c | 69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Over | 53c | 66.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…2ebbbacked Under | 48c | 62.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 50c | 61.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 58c | 61.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 52c | 61.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Under | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 51c | 59.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 47c | 59.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 51c | 57.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x097e…f7e0backed Under | 59c | 57.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 50c | 55.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Over | 52c | 55.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 49c | 54.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Over | 35c | 53.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5this page
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5Under won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.