TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,477
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,228

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,477 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c7,724$3,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,705.493,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over57c2,423$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.762,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Over70c2,214$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.861553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Over79c1,800$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.91425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick68cpaid-67.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under21c1,455$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.118444.6%82 W · 102 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over63c1,375$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.141668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+42.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under42c1,203$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.052,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over68c1,020$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.181546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under23c943.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1296947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under52c870.33$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.770239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under27c816.27$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.7411839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under6c772.04$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.077859%46 W · 32 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+34.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Under40c745$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under43c718.26$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.0738047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under23c656.19$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.2791950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa62a…f05bbacked Over77c649.35$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over58c600$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over35c600$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2108747.1%41 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe667…6117backed Under65c584.62$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Over65c515.38$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9769…7cd7backed Over57c499.99$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under19c498.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.687417.6%13 W · 61 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-50.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over80c440.9$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.7215562.6%97 W · 58 L+22.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over24c435.42$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1046235.5%22 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf277…9a5fbacked Over77c389.61$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under3c375.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.482650%13 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+102.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Over30c322$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Over79c306.23$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over76c300.29$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2288042.5%34 W · 46 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over77c259.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Under30c250.24$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.621573.3%11 W · 4 L+4.7wins+0.31per pick42cpaid+63.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over80c239.7$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7617855.6%99 W · 79 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under60c236.62$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.88550.6%43 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over80c228.45$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.4317958.1%104 W · 75 L+17.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Under31c226.58$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.94141.5%17 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under21c222$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.383366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+44.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under24c214.63$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.12771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+59.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.57580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+83%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under40c172.41$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.317153.8%92 W · 79 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over57c171.16$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57c3…44b8backed Over70c158$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-61%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over76c142$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.929345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e4e…2564backed Under36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.89757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+32.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b3b…f353backed Under23c134$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+344.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002382.6%19 W · 4 L+4.8wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+42.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf680…2c59backed Over47c106.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under23c105$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.852944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5813337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under46c94.72$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.612860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504862.5%30 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Over41c80.49$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over54c78$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.882040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under23c76.61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8556849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over52c70$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.53857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over76c65.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014767.3%99 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Over77c64.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.25per pick56cpaid-56.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Over47c59.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.31822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Over58c59.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.931656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Over74c57.69$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6937043.8%162 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under24c56.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.135740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over61c56.09$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.941450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under65c55.02$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.419141.8%38 W · 53 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d4c…d6f5backed Over59c52.54$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24a3…7c66backed Over39c46.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5331…3672backed Over77c45.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76a4…6207backed Under50c43.8$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over47c42.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6fb…67b9backed Over35c40.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.25580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under53c32.87$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.453644.4%16 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed Under41c30.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.821560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over58c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.52948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over64c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.22737%10 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x970e…613ebacked Over68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+185.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under42c26.77$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.467656.6%43 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Over76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204757.4%27 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb7…5401backed Over80c24.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe89e…7219backed Over79c23.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over67c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.47152.1%37 W · 34 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over67c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.45455.6%30 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea65…d27dbacked Over76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.25680.4%45 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf94c…8a42backed Over65c19.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.86633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-57.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.