Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc0efadf5c14699cde534b4b1fd6dcbcb0dc15874ff204c0aa006fb89499298c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rayo Vallecano de Madridof RC Strasbourg Alsace, Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 75c | 3,762$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.36 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 20c | 2,534$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.74 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 75c | 1,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.81 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 16c | 727.06$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.72 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 22c | 500.63$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.03 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf72…6378backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 26c | 362.04$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…b11ebacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 26c | 356.87$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 25c | 327.03$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.65 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 74c | 308.34$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 25c | 288$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…b8c3backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 10c | 237.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 74c | 217.89$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 25c | 216.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 17c | 177.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 11c | 166.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 25c | 166$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 25c | 158.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 75c | 142.35$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…b42dbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 74c | 123.81$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 24c | 118$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 75c | 106.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…521bbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 26c | 96.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 25c | 89.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c5…2353backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 76c | 80.29$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…5f06backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 27c | 70.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 24c | 60.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 24c | 59.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…c3aabacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 75c | 59.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 75c | 53.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 25c | 50.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 27c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…1414backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 76c | 43.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 76c | 41.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…aad9backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 76c | 28.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…a266backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 75c | 28.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…ec13backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 76c | 21.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)this page
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5Under won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5Under won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.