La Liga · resolved market
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb06c34003d381b4f293a93f56cae396505c780f6922df4adb620f8f87e2c56d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $228,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 380 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 44c | 40,569$17,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,772.61 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 44c | 29,210$12,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,245.03 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 56c | 24,979$13,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,988.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 45c | 18,714$8,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,232.4 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 44c | 14,836$6,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,303.7 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 55c | 13,000$7,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,150 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 45c | 10,893$4,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,982.18 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 56c | 10,325$5,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,782 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 55c | 9,754$5,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,364.46 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 55c | 7,764$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,277.09 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 56c | 5,867$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,280.09 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…d170backed No | 44c | 5,827$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,271.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 5,693$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,279.55 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yes | 54c | 5,555$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.7 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 44c | 5,109$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.72 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 56c | 4,787$2,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680.71 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 62c | 3,850$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 51c | 3,787$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.51 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c3…99c4backed Yes | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked Yes | 57c | 3,507$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 57c | 3,382$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 43c | 3,025$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…da1abacked Yes | 57c | 2,845$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 7c | 2,732$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.17 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 55c | 2,691$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.79 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…a6b5backed Yes | 56c | 2,480$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 44c | 2,386$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.16 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 56c | 2,286$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…73b3backed Yes | 73c | 2,144$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…d48ebacked Yes | 56c | 2,019$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.65 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,999$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.28 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…3378backed No | 45c | 1,870$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Yes | 55c | 1,835$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fec…5b6fbacked Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…18cdbacked Yes | 56c | 1,707$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed No | 44c | 1,325$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.96 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 35c | 1,253$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.45 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed No | 44c | 1,084$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.09 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 55c | 1,076$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,072$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 45c | 1,071$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.92 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 45c | 989.74$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.96 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 43c | 977.45$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.97 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…bd07backed Yes | 64c | 969.72$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…4194backed Yes | 53c | 948.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 920.17$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.81 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 43c | 904.54$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.37 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 56c | 896.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 24c | 888$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.79 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 54c | 814.56$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.86 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 56c | 793.91$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 44c | 773.27$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.03 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 59c | 753.25$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57af…1a28backed Yes | 55c | 730.91$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Yes | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Yes | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 68cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed Yes | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yes | 55c | 700$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 56c | 619.64$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…0661backed Yes | 65c | 616.88$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 25c | 616.66$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.92 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 41c | 611.52$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.16 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…f0e7backed Yes | 57c | 609.93$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 44c | 600$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…20c6backed Yes | 30c | 600$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9721…bb3dbacked Yes | 56c | 535.88$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…1427backed Yes | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ba…134ebacked Yes | 56c | 521.52$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe714…d510backed No | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed No | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 43c | 465$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.05 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5b…9164backed Yes | 55c | 452.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 55c | 451.3$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c54…f00ebacked Yes | 56c | 448.17$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Yes | 56c | 428.57$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked No | 47c | 426.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.39 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2633…1930backed Yes | 55c | 407.82$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 55c | 404.96$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.73 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 45c | 399.98$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…6af3backed Yes | 55c | 395.82$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.7 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…0cbcbacked Yes | 58c | 392.81$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 56c | 388.35$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 55c | 383.32$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.61 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 48c | 375$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8665…85ecbacked Yes | 57c | 371.93$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…2833backed Yes | 55c | 368.18$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 55c | 363.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 43c | 362.5$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.08 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes | 56c | 358.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 57c | 352.66$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 54c | 330.11$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.26 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?this page
- Will Celta Vigo vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-10-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.