La Liga · resolved market
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-10-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b6a5170c30fbeba1b2317cf98929a446af82e2dc2bc5e84a07959b35bc2edbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes | 20c | 21,253$4,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250.68 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 80c | 7,500$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 19c | 3,637$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.5 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 1,590$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.89 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes | 19c | 1,187$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 8c | 1,110$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.69 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 21c | 1,050$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3edc…2d23backed Yes | 32c | 950.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 19c | 821.22$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.22 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 21c | 673.68$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…a488backed No | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 4c | 506.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 18c | 444.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 19c | 398.17$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 31c | 390.32$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 20c | 362$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 18c | 324.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…1733backed No | 80c | 315.25$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538f…b40ebacked No | 79c | 306.43$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 19c | 299.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 18c | 260$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…2704backed Yes | 11c | 238$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Yes | 26c | 169.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 25c | 162$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 27c | 154.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Yes | 10c | 117.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 24c | 98.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4d…a9f3backed No | 74c | 94.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 20c | 91.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb5…050bbacked Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 19c | 79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Yes | 18c | 70.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 72c | 68.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x601d…1778backed Yes | 31c | 63.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 21c | 62.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4198…c043backed Yes | 21c | 56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 19c | 55.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb18b…4e0ebacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…e492backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7507…71e3backed No | 80c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…3e29backed No | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428b…d8aebacked No | 80c | 30.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…5832backed No | 80c | 27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…646bbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a0…63b2backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x464f…3ef7backed No | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5606…49d5backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed27…14cbbacked No | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-10-05?this page
- Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?No won
- Will Celta Vigo vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.