La Liga · resolved market
Will Celta Vigo vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa014ee8f001f2b8e6f1ce3e7af5cf8bfa200fe90cab2aaedd5cad71797cdce8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 5,251$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,789.38 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 74c | 4,415$3,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,279.12 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 2,219$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.21 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…9971backed Yes | 26c | 1,281$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 27c | 707.78$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.78 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 46c | 564.75$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.88 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 74c | 513.07$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.71 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d80…cd30backed Yes | 70c | 427.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 38c | 423.46$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.75 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 74c | 404.73$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.5 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x458b…a848backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +370.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 75c | 350$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 72c | 276.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.73 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 39c | 260.81$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.21 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 23c | 180$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…6a3ebacked Yes | 75c | 173.33$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fc…ea6cbacked No | 76c | 170.12$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 26c | 167.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.18 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yes | 24c | 156.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.14 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 16c | 119.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed Yes | 26c | 98.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 33c | 96.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 41c | 89.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 74c | 76.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 33c | 75.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 75c | 68.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb5…050bbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf17…3eeebacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 75c | 54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa695…c8a4backed Yes | 79c | 50.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…4d7abacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 75c | 49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 24c | 41.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe914…1707backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 76c | 28.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…2b0abacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…70a4backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 74c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed No | 75c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe55f…2e75backed Yes | 58c | 19.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celta Vigo vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?this page
- Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?No won
- Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-10-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.