Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa1e1d91b59c73e5d81b4792d1790f002724ef15a7e61f7e5c70bbc2040c6467
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 1,496$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.14 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 41c | 770.5$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.64 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 46c | 633$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…affcbacked Yes | 60c | 554.06$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Yes | 39c | 509.96$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 462.72$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 50c | 409.66$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.38 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 21c | 72.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 59c | 64.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 67c | 51.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 27c | 44.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c0…7e02backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Yes | 55c | 31.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f64…452abacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Yes | 44c | 27.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Paris FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.