Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b20d6c194f8dfbbfdd5ae51ecf656b27ba5313d1e229b13fdc381ae1fb88f97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 34c | 2,323$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.95 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 67c | 1,471$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Under | 70c | 1,448$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 968.28$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.26 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 848.02$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.05 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 28c | 711.23$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.67 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ca…2ab7backed Over | 31c | 499.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Under | 45c | 408.89$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 61c | 344.3$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.09 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 66c | 304.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over | 24c | 272$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.72 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…1e6dbacked Under | 44c | 227.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…121abacked Under | 73c | 190$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 65c | 181$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.65 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 65c | 151$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 70c | 122.12$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…11bcbacked Under | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 66c | 104.56$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 57c | 65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…b336backed Under | 52c | 58.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…dc9bbacked Over | 55c | 45.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 70c | 41.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Over | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…63afbacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…e861backed Under | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 67c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e36…de5bbacked Over | 79c | 12.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5this page
- Paris FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paris FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.