Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde88e8756d3ef0988f531776209b07489f1d123d7f1c3366b9f3a72887636add
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 56c | 4,916$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.87 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 54c | 3,712$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.46 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 3,250$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.87 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 1,427$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.78 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 42c | 1,425$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.43 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.49 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 44c | 1,107$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.41 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 44c | 1,105$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.01 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 34c | 792.19$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.49 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 44c | 772.53$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.39 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 45c | 725.73$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.35 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 44c | 588.21$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.77 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 55c | 467.52$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.38 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 49c | 439$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.11 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Over | 57c | 436.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.11 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…11bcbacked Under | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 48c | 163.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 45c | 155$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 45c | 130$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d17…9054backed Over | 58c | 110$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…ba56backed Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 101.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 44c | 81.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 47c | 71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 29c | 68.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 59c | 56.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 55c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Under | 45c | 49.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 53c | 37.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…b692backed Under | 44c | 35.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c0…7e02backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Under | 45c | 34.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 46c | 30.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 66c | 25.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 58c | 18.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5this page
- Paris FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paris FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.