TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,095
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,353

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,095 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No78c5,489$4,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.952,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes21c4,772$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c4,258$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,608.23,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No46c3,260$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.3143344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No46c3,011$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.0811246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes54c1,833$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9902748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No47c1,671$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.2891950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked No47c1,512$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes19c1,149$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21811127%30 W · 81 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes43c1,107$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.862347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21011226.8%30 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Yes54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes53c850$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.55856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed No47c741.89$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+72.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No48c578.29$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.718254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Yes54c518.51$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Yes53c507.15$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.79825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-46.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1652213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-52.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1069…7209backed Yes54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No53c458.38$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.7211839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No48c451.83$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.635947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No46c430.78$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.231,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed No46c426.02$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.053458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e3…3792backed Yes53c411$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.83728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes25c409.2$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.35927.1%16 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No46c403.83$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.0796947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No74c379.52$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1676941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57bb…9302backed Yes53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick53cpaid-43.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x26ce…6da3backed Yes40c321.73$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.691464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+49.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes37c299.04$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.175234.6%18 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes54c296.3$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes53c289.96$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.688124.7%20 W · 61 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No52c284.43$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.5370239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No47c283.48$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6669448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a5b…81d3backed Yes54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Yes54c265.15$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.091258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Yes40c259.91$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.871741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9769…7cd7backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes33c236.03$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.891513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-59%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eab…78efbacked Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked No49c229.59$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No49c226.53$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.533557.1%20 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes51c219$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.081533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes46c212$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.523135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes53c207.55$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes51c202.5$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.22231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes48c202.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1323461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfa2e…c5d2backed Yes48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1276…1ebabacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-53.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01b6…48ccbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5941…9583backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002548%12 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x444d…88cabacked Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd020…6793backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eca…da71backed Yes29c180$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc93…b91dbacked No54c174.07$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b94…c347backed Yes50c167.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.52650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No48c144$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.883582.9%29 W · 6 L+6.4wins+0.18per pick64cpaid+34.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8b0e…3a6ebacked No76c143.87$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.87366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes53c136.17$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.171681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes39c134.73$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.132040%8 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2e…6da4backed Yes54c130$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.21573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+46.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No46c125.26$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.642944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa470…5283backed Yes53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Yes54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb272…bb76backed Yes54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No46c106.11$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.35534.5%19 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3626…3834backed No46c104.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked No48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.172157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes54c101.85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Yes51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b68…0060backed Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb90a…78e1backed Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5258…534ebacked Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2533…5c8cbacked Yes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No46c99.98$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9911657.8%67 W · 49 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes50c99.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8866…a584backed Yes53c98.11$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+22.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed No69c95.65$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid+33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7d…582abacked Yes54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20b3…0e11backed Yes54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1619…7554backed Yes54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60cb…79a4backed Yes54c90.74$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Yes52c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.22733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Yes53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.41553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick68cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfeaf…5e01backed Yes31c79.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked No65c78.43$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.45771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+59.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a95…5d96backed Yes52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked No53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.472157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No52c75.14$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8733522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf57c…66febacked Yes28c75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211450%7 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+48.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x40a4…c6a9backed Yes54c73.09$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No46c66.87$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8866150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x684c…93dfbacked Yes48c65.45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes39c64.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.