Europa Conference League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x386740c8e9d9ba41082869f70ed9b81db6e6a72b056041e6604ad1be2d2f3afb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 10,500$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.54 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.98 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Over | 75c | 4,150$3,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.44 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 1c | 3,745$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…e501backed Under | 32c | 3,062$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Over | 60c | 2,630$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.88 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 25c | 2,509$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.15 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Over | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 72c | 2,083$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over | 76c | 1,457$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.59 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 25c | 1,049$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.61 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 30c | 986.47$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.59 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Over | 76c | 800$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Over | 77c | 793.51$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.51 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 77c | 779.22$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.22 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 23c | 779.1$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.19 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 25c | 759.85$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.96 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 24c | 690.63$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.75 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 80c | 666.43$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.22 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 24c | 506.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Over | 72c | 468.38$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Under | 25c | 424.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 23c | 393.01$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.39 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Over | 76c | 383.24$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 40c | 373.5$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.4 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 23c | 367.73$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 29c | 365.85$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.12 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 76c | 337.9$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Over | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 63c | 283$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.71 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…70c5backed Over | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 75c | 258.65$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 24c | 234$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 24c | 218.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 69c | 216.01$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.01 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 75c | 207.41$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacab…4e20backed Under | 31c | 187.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 25c | 183$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 170.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…49e0backed Under | 8c | 170$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 24c | 163.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 19c | 149.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 23c | 146$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Over | 69c | 145.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 33c | 142.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 36c | 141.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 76c | 125$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 25c | 122.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 24c | 118$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 29c | 110.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Under | 18c | 102.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Under | 32c | 100.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Under | 26c | 96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Over | 80c | 92.65$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 24c | 88.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 24c | 87.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Over | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 75c | 76.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Under | 26c | 71.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 76c | 71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 24c | 68.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1276…1ebabacked Under | 34c | 61.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Over | 72c | 61.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 38 | 78.9%30 W · 8 L | +8.4wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Over | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7311…0946backed Over | 64c | 59.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 32c | 52.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 25c | 51.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x617d…90cfbacked Over | 77c | 50.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Over | 76c | 50.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 25c | 49.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 25c | 40.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x692f…6455backed Over | 63c | 39.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x361f…5edabacked Over | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…fddbbacked Over | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d3…60b0backed Over | 77c | 30.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dda…c9e0backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 73c | 26.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…7fc9backed Over | 76c | 25.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Over | 70c | 24.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x548f…d295backed Over | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.