TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,975
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,075

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,975 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under28c10,500$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,989.543,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over76c5,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.984573.3%33 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Over75c4,150$3,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.443839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under1c3,745$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.453732.4%12 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+69%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4520…e501backed Under32c3,062$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.99616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-67.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over60c2,630$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.881478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+33.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under25c2,509$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.152,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Over62c2,500$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-51.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Over72c2,083$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.33728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-55.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over76c1,457$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.592462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under1c1,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1270%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Under25c1,049$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.615234.6%18 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under30c986.47$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.5956849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Over76c800$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1922850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf277…9a5fbacked Over77c793.51$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.511258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over77c779.22$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.222360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under23c779.1$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.1996947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under25c759.85$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9611246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under24c690.63$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.751723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over80c666.43$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.227152.1%37 W · 34 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under24c506.98$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6855545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Over72c468.38$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.81475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+35.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Under25c424.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.25425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-65.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017153.8%92 W · 79 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under23c393.01$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.391,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.612382.6%19 W · 4 L+4.8wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+42.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Over76c383.24$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under40c373.5$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.48853.4%47 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under23c367.73$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5869448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under29c365.85$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.128550.6%43 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over76c337.9$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.15534.5%19 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Over65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over63c283$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.711,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…70c5backed Over77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.74875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over75c258.65$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.742,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under24c234$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.161050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+50.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under24c218.54$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.455740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over69c216.01$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.012751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over75c207.41$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.851681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xacab…4e20backed Under31c187.35$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under25c183$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.751040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under24c170.93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0291950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad7…49e0backed Under8c170$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under24c163.75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.35947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over79c150$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under19c149.59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.143627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under23c146$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5866150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57c3…44b8backed Over69c145.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.04728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-61%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under33c142.49$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3238047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under36c141.88$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.082860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Over76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.25per pick56cpaid-56.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over76c125$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under25c122.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8845348.3%219 W · 234 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under24c118$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.326136.1%22 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Under29c110.52$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Under18c102.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.972231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Under32c100.41$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.131020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-63.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253256.3%18 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x23e2…9ecdbacked Over75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec3e…11c0backed Under26c96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cea…371bbacked Over80c92.65$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.531040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under12c91.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1163857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under24c88.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.348254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under24c87.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2178344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under22c80$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.65345.3%24 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d6…b2a6backed Over75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over70c80$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.053857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over75c76.63$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7870239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Under26c71.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over76c71$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0481440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under24c68.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4515240.8%62 W · 90 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.949257.6%53 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1276…1ebabacked Under34c61.91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-53.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Over72c61.29$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.163878.9%30 W · 8 L+8.4wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+46.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Over80c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7311…0946backed Over64c59.38$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under32c52.09$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7414654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under25c51.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.672937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x617d…90cfbacked Over77c50.65$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.65837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.26per pick63cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x17b6…af55backed Over76c50.36$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.09540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-44.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.382040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.544156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over68c49.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169443.6%41 W · 53 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under25c49.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.447656.6%43 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf94c…8a42backed Under25c40.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.13633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-57.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x692f…6455backed Over63c39.97$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4714767.3%99 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x361f…5edabacked Over76c32.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.89785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+77.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c7f…fddbbacked Over76c32.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.891181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick71cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8d3…60b0backed Over77c30.16$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.452948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5dda…c9e0backed Over69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+91.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over73c26.71$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.213275%24 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.97560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5218…7fc9backed Over76c25.58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.14475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Over70c24.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.36683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Over75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54568.9%31 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.45455.6%30 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x548f…d295backed Over76c19.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.