Europa Conference League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6800715f9389278fb1eab3450bfc63f3708a76269154040549de2a2ed136cebf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 4,970$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,026.43 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 31c | 3,720$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.88 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 2,131$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.4 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 27c | 1,821$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.33 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 18c | 1,571$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.12 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 22c | 1,012$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.35 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 69c | 1,008$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.47 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 29c | 999.94$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.96 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 69c | 976$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.44 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 33c | 973.05$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.51 | 76 | 77.6%59 W · 17 L | +13.5wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 24c | 954.98$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 19cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 67c | 934.44$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.01 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ac…7409backed Under | 79c | 781.66$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 57c | 702.15$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.32 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 71c | 690.14$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Under | 59c | 589.69$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…df82backed Under | 79c | 505.56$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Under | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 66c | 462.24$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.71 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 72c | 449.99$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.99 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 14c | 405$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Over | 28c | 386.57$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.33 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Under | 71c | 386.4$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…90b2backed Under | 80c | 385$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 77cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…b11ebacked Over | 30c | 330$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 70c | 311.01$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.71 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 37c | 272.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.18 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 28c | 267.08$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.5 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 42c | 233.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.33 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7599…4293backed Over | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 24c | 186.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.45 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 75c | 182.43$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.71 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…4194backed Over | 29c | 174.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Over | 18c | 168.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.21 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Under | 71c | 145.85$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Under | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 69.9%58 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Over | 44c | 136.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed Under | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f4…2df9backed Under | 76c | 130.26$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…0104backed Under | 71c | 126.07$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 30c | 123.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.3 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 70c | 118.83$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.18 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 72c | 118$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Over | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Over | 16c | 106.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 29c | 102.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Under | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 79c | 95.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…0319backed Over | 21c | 80.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 72c | 70.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Over | 21c | 67.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Over | 37c | 67.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf6…c27dbacked Over | 30c | 63.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 70c | 62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7737…7851backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 76c | 47.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…92d6backed Over | 30c | 46.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +156%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c14…134bbacked Over | 42c | 44.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…2ebbbacked Under | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9f…3496backed Over | 42c | 37.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7130…5387backed Over | 42c | 37.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 28c | 35.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a5…7f75backed Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa6…63b6backed Under | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd6…3beebacked Under | 71c | 34.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 71c | 33.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad9…5562backed Over | 44c | 29.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…05a3backed Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92ac…16cdbacked Under | 73c | 26.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under | 64c | 23.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…e861backed Under | 72c | 20.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 74c | 20.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…67b9backed Over | 55c | 18.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 75c | 18.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…72f6backed Under | 66c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e73…27a3backed Under | 71c | 17.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c0…6f8cbacked Under | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 75c | 15.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 79c | 14.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.