Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x092cce7b88ba7817f9ec104e0d7913c22568a74906fd767ab39838d9b2c04547
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aston Villa FCof Aston Villa FC, Nottingham Forest FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Nottingham Forest FC | 66c | 18,459$12,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,251.61 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c58…a5a1backed Aston Villa FC | 31c | 18,000$5,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,419.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nottingham Forest FC | 66c | 5,967$3,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,945.21 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Aston Villa FC | 30c | 5,772$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,046.2 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Aston Villa FC | 42c | 5,618$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,268.77 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Nottingham Forest FC | 3c | 4,999$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Aston Villa FC | 30c | 4,001$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.52 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed Nottingham Forest FC | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 69c | 2,178$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b99…4b3abacked Aston Villa FC | 30c | 1,531$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Nottingham Forest FC | 70c | 1,449$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.47 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Nottingham Forest FC | 71c | 1,402$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…1570backed Aston Villa FC | 30c | 1,400$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Nottingham Forest FC | 71c | 1,312$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.84 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Aston Villa FC | 41c | 1,035$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.52 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed Aston Villa FC | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Aston Villa FC | 28c | 906.59$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.59 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Nottingham Forest FC | 17c | 750.42$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.81 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…53c9backed Nottingham Forest FC | 59c | 678.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Nottingham Forest FC | 70c | 656$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.2 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nottingham Forest FC | 19c | 506.79$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.88 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nottingham Forest FC | 17c | 475$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 376 | 46.5%175 W · 201 L | +26.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Aston Villa FC | 30c | 457.07$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.95 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nottingham Forest FC | 57c | 408$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.84 | 785 | 44.8%352 W · 433 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…349fbacked Aston Villa FC | 31c | 384.26$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +152.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Aston Villa FC | 30c | 370$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Aston Villa FC | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Aston Villa FC | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…df49backed Aston Villa FC | 31c | 316.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nottingham Forest FC | 23c | 283.06$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Nottingham Forest FC | 70c | 280.6$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.42 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Nottingham Forest FC | 69c | 254.49$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.74 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Aston Villa FC | 71c | 238.26$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Nottingham Forest FC | 69c | 220$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Nottingham Forest FC | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 69c | 204.07$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.54 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Aston Villa FC | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Nottingham Forest FC | 26c | 191.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nottingham Forest FC | 26c | 173.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Aston Villa FC | 31c | 170.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Nottingham Forest FC | 71c | 169.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Aston Villa FC | 30c | 167$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.9 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef8abacked Aston Villa FC | 30c | 165.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad4…f77dbacked Aston Villa FC | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…422abacked Aston Villa FC | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Nottingham Forest FC | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Nottingham Forest FC | 70c | 142.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Nottingham Forest FC | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.4wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…e227backed Nottingham Forest FC | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Nottingham Forest FC | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 28c | 133$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Nottingham Forest FC | 75c | 130.3$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nottingham Forest FC | 70c | 125.25$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Aston Villa FC | 32c | 122.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.93 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Nottingham Forest FC | 70c | 118$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Nottingham Forest FC | 69c | 115.47$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.21 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x753e…5c11backed Aston Villa FC | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aston Villa FC | 52c | 110.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Aston Villa FC | 30c | 105$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Aston Villa FC | 30c | 102.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Aston Villa FC | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Aston Villa FC | 31c | 97.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed Aston Villa FC | 78c | 92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Aston Villa FC | 31c | 87.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Nottingham Forest FC | 70c | 80.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Nottingham Forest FC | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Aston Villa FC | 32c | 73.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Aston Villa FC | 29c | 72.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Aston Villa FC | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Aston Villa FC | 45c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Nottingham Forest FC | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…78e2backed Aston Villa FC | 30c | 67.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Aston Villa FC | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aston Villa FC | 30c | 67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Aston Villa FC | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8205…5067backed Aston Villa FC | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacd1…0689backed Aston Villa FC | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8919…0688backed Nottingham Forest FC | 23c | 63.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0670…877bbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 71c | 63.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Aston Villa FC | 28c | 63.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…2175backed Aston Villa FC | 47c | 63.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…d5a3backed Aston Villa FC | 44c | 61.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Aston Villa FC | 29c | 59.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Aston Villa FC | 34c | 58.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Nottingham Forest FC | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 33c | 56.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Aston Villa FC | 29c | 54.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Aston Villa FC | 29c | 53.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Nottingham Forest FC | 71c | 50.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21e0…369dbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Aston Villa FC | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Aston Villa FC | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Nottingham Forest FC | 71c | 47.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Nottingham Forest FC | 69c | 44.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)this page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.