Europa Conference League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x334c76995ca45b981fd6bf7734d087e56eed45b8792e52d6e96da4a4b2c6187e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $390,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $442,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $390,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0792…b778backed Over | 50c | 89,881$44,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,940.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed Over | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,499.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 44,463$19,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,233.58 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd5…303abacked Over | 56c | 29,373$16,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,897.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Under | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 15,789$7,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,822.35 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 49c | 12,545$6,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,147.19 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 10,362$4,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,265.73 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Over | 52c | 9,998$5,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,824.71 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 55c | 9,100$5,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,094.99 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 48c | 8,800$4,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,224 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Over | 52c | 8,341$4,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,003.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 51c | 8,065$4,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,973.92 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Over | 67c | 6,888$4,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 50c | 6,197$3,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,077 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Under | 48c | 5,600$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,687.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Under | 21c | 4,872$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.04 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 4,126$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.7 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Under | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 4,067$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.63 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.78 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 50c | 3,673$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc30f…b556backed Over | 64c | 3,271$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 74c | 3,125$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.73 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95df…49cabacked Under | 50c | 2,985$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 79c | 2,911$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.56 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…095ebacked Over | 43c | 2,485$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 52c | 2,295$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.4 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 2,222$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.22 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…761fbacked Over | 52c | 2,217$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Over | 46c | 2,181$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…cdfcbacked Under | 47c | 2,088$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Under | 50c | 2,081$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 34c | 1,782$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.39 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 1,674$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.03 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 70c | 1,647$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.68 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 79c | 1,455$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.52 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.32per pick | 49cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 79c | 1,455$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.52 | 76 | 77.6%59 W · 17 L | +13.5wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 71c | 1,400$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 50c | 1,261$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 68c | 1,200$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.05 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.5 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 2c | 1,100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f5…8d50backed Over | 50c | 991.52$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 49c | 961.19$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.21 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 4c | 932.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 49c | 876.2$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.84 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -7.4wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 28c | 849.22$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.03 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 44c | 802.81$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.16 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked Under | 37c | 781.67$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 50c | 760$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 17c | 750.93$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.7 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Under | 28c | 707.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 689.74$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.91 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…e501backed Under | 36c | 675.22$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a48…e094backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +57%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 50c | 560.48$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 69c | 555.55$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.22 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 46c | 538.46$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.46 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 77c | 520.42$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 69c | 515.4$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.06 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Over | 38c | 507.95$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Under | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…df82backed Under | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacab…4e20backed Under | 51c | 461.39$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 44c | 450$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Over | 48c | 447$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.44 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 68c | 439.12$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.41 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 6c | 429.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 51c | 405.96$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.04 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 51c | 392.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.31 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over | 45c | 386.68$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.67 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 50c | 382.46$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.23 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.