Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fca847b5250b59b27f6106c4643f32fd528bc649e092840c26a43c923f2a44b

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $31,492
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $31,172

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,492 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes	29c	12,962$3,759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,759.22	164	37.2%61 W · 103 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	63c	9,829$6,172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,657.08	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc68b…f6eebacked No	41c	5,000$2,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,949.99	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.21per pick	50cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	69c	4,306$2,963 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,343.2	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked No	43c	716.97$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.67	114	49.1%56 W · 58 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c8…68f0backed Yes	59c	515.25$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.16per pick	62cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No	57c	487.09$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.76	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c3…bdf4backed Yes	60c	420$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	38	73.7%28 W · 10 L	+6.5wins	+0.17per pick	57cpaid	+48.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No	41c	327.51$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.64	592	47.6%282 W · 310 L	+18.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Yes	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd99…c06cbacked Yes	59c	203.39$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.21per pick	61cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed No	42c	200$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116	101	47.5%48 W · 53 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes	47c	190$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.7	143	51%73 W · 70 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Yes	58c	187.52$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.76	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes	39c	178.21$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.9	141	28.4%40 W · 101 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Yes	57c	174.56$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.5	99	57.6%57 W · 42 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No	41c	172$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.48	277	52.3%145 W · 132 L	+8.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eb2…5f39backed Yes	59c	169.49$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.21per pick	50cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Yes	59c	169.49$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	94	44.7%42 W · 52 L	-7.4wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8207…7edbbacked Yes	60c	167.12$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	83	38.6%32 W · 51 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes	60c	167$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.2	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes	59c	165.78$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.81	578	33%191 W · 387 L	-29.9wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked No	43c	161.8$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.8	126	52.4%66 W · 60 L	+10.3wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Yes	59c	152$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.68	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed No	42c	150$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87	184	49.5%91 W · 93 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2e…6da4backed Yes	60c	134$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.4	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-4.0wins	-0.15per pick	52cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Yes	19c	131.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	53	34%18 W · 35 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No	41c	126$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.34	292	50%146 W · 146 L	+7.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Yes	59c	120.04$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.82	418	50.7%212 W · 206 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed No	73c	116.75$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.47	71	66.2%47 W · 24 L	+6.9wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x76b3…2baabacked No	60c	113.2$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.28	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+2.7wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+147.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9662…f1d6backed Yes	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Yes	59c	102.92$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.64	221	46.2%102 W · 119 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5258…4f34backed Yes	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed No	50c	101.52$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.76	88	58%51 W · 37 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	198	34.8%69 W · 129 L	-17.3wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No	41c	96.69$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.29	809	53.6%434 W · 375 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes	52c	96.35$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No	40c	89.3$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.58	125	62.4%78 W · 47 L	+8.6wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Yes	60c	87.63$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.58	89	59.6%53 W · 36 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187f…7985backed Yes	26c	83.51$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes	53c	79.99$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.4	556	54.9%305 W · 251 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Yes	60c	66.95$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	68	60.3%41 W · 27 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Yes	56c	63.26$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.43	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-3.8wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes	53c	62.3$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.02	81	43.2%35 W · 46 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes	59c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	-7.1wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed No	41c	49.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.5	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+3.5wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed No	41c	48.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.78	92	65.2%60 W · 32 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4178…defabacked No	42c	47.62$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.62	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd68f…6fdfbacked No	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.15per pick	44cpaid	+25%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked No	67c	37.31$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.31	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f9c…305dbacked Yes	56c	35.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ee…0378backed Yes	59c	33.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	+41.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25b6…6f79backed Yes	59c	33.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed No	41c	33.74$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.07	74	50%37 W · 37 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x157a…e4a3backed Yes	60c	33.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	102	55.9%57 W · 45 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07fe…4d66backed Yes	60c	33.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79c0…7e02backed Yes	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.15per pick	57cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x48b5…9167backed Yes	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf3e…5d6cbacked No	47c	31$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.43	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41ec…31a4backed Yes	56c	28.57$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	+19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	41c	27.04$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.95	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked No	75c	25.01$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.17	184	63%116 W · 68 L	+10.0wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Yes	53c	22.8$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.09	1,007	51.5%519 W · 488 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2119…9303backed Yes	59c	20.34$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-6.2wins	-0.22per pick	56cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x09b6…d33ebacked Yes	59c	20.3$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.98	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xab9b…3483backed Yes	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8724…b082backed Yes	59c	18.64$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Sunderland AFC won
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event