Premier League · resolved market
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc864fe0b9b9ce468003c3d8c6905d5ed27884a21fe6f82b3461f00159d21c22c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 9,616$5,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,605.64 | 6,253 | 45.5%2,847 W · 3,406 L | -35.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 56c | 8,870$4,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,966.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Under | 55c | 7,121$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 43c | 4,623$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.76 | 1,140 | 36.7%418 W · 722 L | -16.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 56c | 4,298$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.67 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 50c | 4,024$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.68 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Under | 46c | 3,275$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 44c | 3,076$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.46 | 2,662 | 47.8%1,273 W · 1,389 L | +45.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Over | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.98 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 2,883$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.94 | 5,007 | 41.2%2,064 W · 2,943 L | +19.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 2,277$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278 | 1,472 | 48.3%711 W · 761 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e1…c25cbacked Over | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 22c | 1,955$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 45c | 1,630$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.65 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578e…c3c0backed Over | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 1,433$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.84 | 798 | 42.5%339 W · 459 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 32c | 1,400$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 44c | 1,132$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.16 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Over | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbb…53c4backed Over | 37c | 781.63$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.05 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 56c | 732.41$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Over | 56c | 720$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.2 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 44c | 688.14$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.27 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 45c | 669.02$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.96 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 44c | 665.91$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.2 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 44c | 659.58$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.49 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 54c | 619.2$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.37 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218d…83f8backed Over | 56c | 567.86$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 44c | 563.72$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.68 | 762 | 50%381 W · 381 L | +20.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Over | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Under | 63c | 499.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 30c | 499.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 44c | 450$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 778 | 50.5%393 W · 385 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 44c | 450$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 903 | 52.6%475 W · 428 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 56c | 440.86$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.88 | 371 | 28.6%106 W · 265 L | -20.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over | 56c | 367.96$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.06 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 55c | 361.82$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 44c | 320.6$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.53 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 61c | 306.37$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 759 | 44.8%340 W · 419 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 54c | 302.74$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.48 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Over | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Under | 73c | 274.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.11 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 45c | 264.04$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.1 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Over | 7c | 259.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Over | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked Under | 45c | 225.82$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…8266backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a30…eb65backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Over | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Under | 48c | 210.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.42 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under | 45c | 198.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.97 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x333b…62dabacked Over | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 56c | 187.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…d1ffbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Under | 44c | 176.79$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 176.68$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 681 | 47.6%324 W · 357 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 25c | 174.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Over | 22c | 149.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Under | 45c | 144.44$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…db2ebacked Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 44c | 140$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +275.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f166backed Over | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…bdf6backed Over | 40c | 124.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 44c | 119.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 46c | 116.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 798 | 33%263 W · 535 L | -38.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 44c | 112.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 46c | 104.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1,082 | 52.2%565 W · 517 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 820 | 41.7%342 W · 478 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…874abacked Over | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b57…84ebbacked Over | 56c | 98.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa470…5283backed Over | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Over | 56c | 94.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 55c | 91.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4394backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 33c | 80.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…f4ffbacked Over | 40c | 79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.