Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16fd7db20e6562e8f5567f1bfc75ff8bac6d27b9eb78542b96a7afc4538fd4c2

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $73,363
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $84,808

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,363 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	60c	17,172$10,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,827.74	6,047	45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L	-21.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Over	13c	15,000$1,962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,962.26	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	79c	6,766$5,346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,419.95	4,696	41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over	46c	4,348$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000.07	126	49.2%62 W · 64 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x895d…11d5backed Under	53c	3,372$1,777 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,594.88	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Under	62c	3,226$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,225.81	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+14%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	41c	2,419$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.55	812	34.7%282 W · 530 L	-24.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbc…095ebacked Over	49c	2,038$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.5	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.9wins	-0.26per pick	45cpaid	-66.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	44c	1,476$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	103	38.8%40 W · 63 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over	49c	1,208$592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$592	49	24.5%12 W · 37 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Over	31c	1,200$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	20c	1,053$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$842	2,530	47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L	+43.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x734e…5ba1backed Under	67c	1,048$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.95	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-24%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over	49c	1,020$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	141	38.3%54 W · 87 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	136	30.9%42 W · 94 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	68c	999.99$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.99	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under	52c	937.06$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.79	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22ac…7409backed Over	68c	758.73$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.99	47	68.1%32 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	73cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dfc…07b0backed Over	80c	696.5$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.2	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.23per pick	67cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Over	24c	623.74$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.84	81	22.2%18 W · 63 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	51c	614.71$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.1	746	44.8%334 W · 412 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b37…17bdbacked Over	16c	600$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	101	25.7%26 W · 75 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over	49c	600$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-2.8wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	48c	582$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.64	755	42.3%319 W · 436 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over	74c	579.27$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.88	52	71.2%37 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	67cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2e9…1644backed Under	69c	549.99$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.45	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	61c	438.36$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.81	1,923	42.4%815 W · 1,108 L	-42.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4ac…d058backed Under	73c	399.98$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.99	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.23per pick	57cpaid	+37.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eab…78efbacked Over	12c	341.67$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	20c	329.14$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.31	808	53.6%433 W · 375 L	+11.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	51c	319.51$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.47	697	42.5%296 W · 401 L	+13.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Over	74c	311.22$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over	53c	300$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159	141	28.4%40 W · 101 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over	46c	300$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	21c	278.62$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.11	758	50%379 W · 379 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c40…0c8fbacked Over	51c	250$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.5	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	-5.8wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	26c	250$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	772	36.4%281 W · 491 L	-9.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over	49c	244.9$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x620f…4288backed Over	44c	225.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Over	45c	201.24$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.73	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69e6…b9f9backed Over	54c	200$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Over	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-33%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	21c	199.99$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.99	418	50.7%212 W · 206 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	68c	199.99$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.99	596	45.5%271 W · 325 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ce4…da39backed Over	48c	199.97$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.98	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over	24c	199.7$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	226	45.6%103 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	40c	190$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.62	541	32.9%178 W · 363 L	-28.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over	54c	185.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	59	35.6%21 W · 38 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over	34c	184.99$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.39	411	60.1%247 W · 164 L	+22.1wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf94c…8a42backed Under	21c	179.33$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.67	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under	54c	179$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.34	292	50%146 W · 146 L	+7.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…70c5backed Over	80c	176.64$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.31	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.10per pick	62cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over	13c	170.64$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.65	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+99.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…e0c1backed Over	31c	161.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over	47c	156.69$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.65	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-4.1wins	-0.13per pick	54cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72fc…a0c9backed Over	80c	150$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	78cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x823f…0490backed Over	60c	150$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	72cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over	68c	147.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	117	55.6%65 W · 52 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x034a…49c0backed Under	73c	144.69$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.03	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over	20c	130$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	50c	129.99$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.5	552	54.5%301 W · 251 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked Over	79c	126.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	82	63.4%52 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	80c	125.87$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.7	252	56%141 W · 111 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Over	80c	125$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-5.5wins	-0.12per pick	57cpaid	-12%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over	49c	108.16$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	89	59.6%53 W · 36 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under	20c	105.25$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.2	1,007	51.5%519 W · 488 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over	29c	103.53$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.3	365	45.2%165 W · 200 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc23f…6c8abacked Over	57c	100$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	177	45.2%80 W · 97 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Over	74c	100$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	18c	96.1$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.3	726	58.7%426 W · 300 L	+48.0wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under	20c	85.98$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.78	359	41.5%149 W · 210 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8cf…bdf6backed Over	44c	85$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.4	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over	50c	79.74$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b31…b0debacked Under	34c	78$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.48	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed Over	25c	73.69$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.42	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c97…874abacked Over	20c	70$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	107	33.6%36 W · 71 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over	36c	69.44$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	76	59.2%45 W · 31 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x692f…6455backed Over	33c	60$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Under	71c	58.04$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.75	71	66.2%47 W · 24 L	+6.9wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb1a7…f2b7backed Over	28c	53.57$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under	21c	52.53$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.5	220	49.1%108 W · 112 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a3c…84c5backed Over	80c	51.95$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.56	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.11per pick	65cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	20c	50$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	329	51.4%169 W · 160 L	+11.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed Over	60c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	68c	49.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.99	118	39.8%47 W · 71 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over	32c	47$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.04	126	48.4%61 W · 65 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over	65c	46.15$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	104	54.8%57 W · 47 L	-11.2wins	-0.11per pick	66cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over	48c	39.98$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.19	126	47.6%60 W · 66 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Under	43c	39.75$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.73	155	53.5%83 W · 72 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Over	31c	39.29$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	50	18%9 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+127.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b1…d4d4backed Under	65c	38.46$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.46	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1833…cc31backed Under	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e4…4d8cbacked Over	80c	37.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	60	68.3%41 W · 19 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	66cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6795…4a4cbacked Over	54c	31.48$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c7f…fddbbacked Over	80c	31.11$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.89	10	70%7 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	71cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	53c	30.87$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.5	395	55.9%221 W · 174 L	+17.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Over	49c	30.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	105	35.2%37 W · 68 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaae0…3616backed Over	48c	30.08$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Over	78c	30$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	177	59.9%106 W · 71 L	-16.7wins	-0.09per pick	69cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5this page
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Sunderland AFC won
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event