TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Sunderland AFC (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Manchester United FCof Sunderland AFC, Manchester United FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,738
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,600

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,738 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Sunderland AFC1c6,257$67 inLost-$66.956,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xea8e…0875backed Sunderland AFC3c2,250$65 inLost-$65.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ba1…371dbacked Sunderland AFC3c1,942$56 inLost-$56.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7607…b132backed Sunderland AFC3c1,149$33 inLost-$33.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe402…d026backed Sunderland AFC3c1,044$30 inLost-$30.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43ea…30d2backed Sunderland AFC3c1,017$29 inLost-$29.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ccc…3815backed Sunderland AFC3c1,008$29 inLost-$29.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcae5…f7b0backed Sunderland AFC3c998$29 inLost-$28.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85aa…2f00backed Sunderland AFC3c980$31 inLost-$31.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f77…08eabacked Sunderland AFC3c980$30 inLost-$29.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x998a…b74bbacked Sunderland AFC3c977$28 inLost-$28.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf3…7ea6backed Sunderland AFC3c976$28 inLost-$28.320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa0…457dbacked Sunderland AFC3c959$28 inLost-$27.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8e0…e9babacked Sunderland AFC3c959$28 inLost-$27.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a4…9405backed Sunderland AFC3c958$28 inLost-$27.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aec…bea2backed Sunderland AFC3c958$28 inLost-$27.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe27…94c4backed Sunderland AFC3c954$28 inLost-$27.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3485…4699backed Sunderland AFC3c948$27 inLost-$27.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x002c…8357backed Sunderland AFC3c933$27 inLost-$27.0630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb85a…23a4backed Sunderland AFC3c930$27 inLost-$26.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81c8…f8fcbacked Sunderland AFC3c930$27 inLost-$26.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6941…d1a2backed Sunderland AFC3c928$27 inLost-$26.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c2e…77e6backed Sunderland AFC3c889.99$26 inLost-$25.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Sunderland AFC6c670.78$40 inLost-$40.18442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Sunderland AFC3c612.99$17 inLost-$16.9635941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f48…c965backed Sunderland AFC3c489.99$17 inLost-$16.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Sunderland AFC3c337.38$11 inLost-$10.6614128.4%40 W · 101 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.